Neighborhood · Ranked #56,048 of 84,120 nationally

Cabes Ford Eviction Risk: Lower , Durham

Tract 37135010904 · Orange County, NC · pop 3,712 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

Tract 37135010904 sits in the Cabes Ford area of Durham eviction risk, NC, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3.6/10. Average gross rent is $934, 38% below the Durham average.

Risk score

3.6

Lower

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 6% Stable renters 11% Owners 83%

Tract context

Occupied units1,420

Renter share16.8%

SVI overall0.35

Poverty rate12.3%

Median income$102,031

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Durham and the region

Centroid at 36.0867, -79.0015 · click any tract to drill in

Why Cabes Ford scores 3.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Durham

7.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

7.6

State political climate

North Carolina legislature & governorship

2.3

Economic stress

12.3% poverty · this tract

3.1

Supply constraint

$934 rent vs county FMR

1.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Durham

2.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

4.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Durham

6.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Durham

4.5

How Cabes Ford compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 35

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

44%Socioeconomic
27%Household composition
46%Racial/ethnic minority
32%Housing & transportation

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

10.6%Housing insecurity
6.4%Utility-shutoff threat
13.1%Food insecurity
9.3%SNAP enrollment
7.1%Transit barriers
12.6%No health insurance
15.2%Frequent mental distress
30.5%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Cabes Ford

Pulling hardest the other way is supply constraint at 1/10. Against Orange County at 47.1%, 36% of renters here are cost-burdened.

On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 2/10. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 2.3/10. That is riskier than roughly 33% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Only 17% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. Social vulnerability reads 4.1/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Against average income of $102,031, annual rent is just 11%.

It tracks the Orange County average of 4.1 closely.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 37135010904

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37135010904?

Census tract 37135010904 in the Cabes Ford neighborhood scores 3.6/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 37135010904?

Median gross rent is $934/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 36% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 37135010904?

12.3% of residents in tract 37135010904 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,712.

How socially vulnerable is tract 37135010904?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 35th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 44th, household 27th, minority 46th, housing 32th.

Is tract 37135010904 considered part of Cabes Ford?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 37135010904 fall within Cabes Ford (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 37135010904 struggle to pay rent?

About 10.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 37135010904 compare to Durham overall?

Tract 37135010904 scores 3.6/10, lower than the parent city of Durham at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Durham eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Durham

Top eight tracts in Durham ranked by composite eviction-risk score.