Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally
Lancaster West Main Street Historic District Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 39045032300 · Fairfield County, OH · pop 3,939 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi
Census tract 39045032300 covers part of the Lancaster West Main Street Historic District area of Lancaster, OH, and scores 5.4/10 on landlord eviction risk. 31% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 16%
Stable renters 25%
Owners 59%
Tract context
Occupied units1,846
Renter share40.1%
SVI overall0.52
Poverty rate20.2%
Median income$54,464
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
73
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
77
th percentile
High
Within state
83
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Lancaster and the region
Centroid at 39.6975, -82.6062 · click any tract to drill in
Why Lancaster West Main Street Historic District scores 5.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Lancaster
4.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.8
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
20.2% poverty · this tract
5.1
Supply constraint
$1,048 rent vs county FMR
2.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lancaster
6.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lancaster
8.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lancaster
6.4
How Lancaster West Main Street Historic District compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 52
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 66%Socioeconomic
- 48%Household composition
- 3%Racial/ethnic minority
- 50%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 347Total filings over 13 yrs
- 5.49%Avg annual filing rate
- 8.7%Peak (2005)
- 22Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 19% over the past 13 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Lancaster West Main Street Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 12.3%Housing insecurity
- 9.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 16.4%Food insecurity
- 15.3%SNAP enrollment
- 8.9%Transit barriers
- 9.0%No health insurance
- 19.4%Frequent mental distress
- 33.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Lancaster West Main Street Historic District
The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 8.5/10. Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.9/10.
It sits 1.4 points above the Fairfield County average of 4.0. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 2.3/10.
The poverty rate is 20%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Court records carry 347 eviction filings across 13 observed years.
The worst year on record was 2005, when 8.7% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 5.5% of renter households face a filing.
On the national scale it lands near the 70th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 5.7/10. Statewide the OH average is 4.2, so this tract runs 1.2 points hotter.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 39045032300
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39045032300?
Census tract 39045032300 in the Lancaster West Main Street Historic District neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 39045032300?
Median gross rent is $1,048/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 39% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 39045032300?
20.2% of residents in tract 39045032300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,939.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 39045032300?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 52th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 66th, household 48th, minority 3th, housing 50th.
Q5
Is tract 39045032300 considered part of Lancaster West Main Street Historic District?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39045032300 fall within Lancaster West Main Street Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39045032300?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 347 eviction filings across 13 validated years in tract 39045032300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.49% of renter households, peaking at 8.7% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 39045032300 struggle to pay rent?
About 12.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 39045032300 compare to Lancaster overall?
Tract 39045032300 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Lancaster at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lancaster eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Lancaster
Top eight tracts in Lancaster ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · OH
Lancaster Historic District
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
39045031300
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
Lancaster Methodist Episcopal Camp Ground Historic District
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
Lancaster Methodist Episcopal Camp Ground Historic District
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
Lancaster West Main Street Historic District
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
Lancaster West Main Street Historic District
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
39045031402
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
Lancaster Historic District
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
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