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Neighborhood · Ranked #31,159 of 84,120 nationally

Lancaster West Main Street Historic District Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 39045032300 · Fairfield County, OH · pop 3,939 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi

Here is how census tract 39045032300, in Lancaster West Main Street Historic District in Lancaster eviction risk, looks to a landlord: a 5.4/10 eviction-risk score (Moderate tier) across a population of 3,939. It lands near the 52nd percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

About 39% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a high level, and 31% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,048 a month while the average household earns $54,464 a year, roughly 23% of income at the averages. About 40% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
4.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 16% Stable renters 25% Owners 59%
Tract context
Occupied units1,846
Renter share40.1%
SVI overall0.52
Poverty rate20.2%
Median income$54,464

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 3 tracts In Lancaster West Main Street Historic District
Moderate
Within parent city
73 th percentile
Rank, 73rd percentileLowHigh
#4 of 12 tracts In Lancaster
Elevated
Within county
89 th percentile
Rank, 89th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 36 tracts In Fairfield County
High
Within state
72 th percentile
Rank, 72nd percentileLowHigh
#894 of 3,162 tracts In Ohio
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Lancaster and the region

Centroid at 39.6975, -82.6062 · click any tract to drill in

Why Lancaster West Main Street Historic District scores 4.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Lancaster
4.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.8
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
20.2% poverty · this tract
5.1
Supply constraint
$1,048 rent vs county FMR
2.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lancaster
6.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lancaster
8.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lancaster
6.4

How Lancaster West Main Street Historic District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Lancaster West Main Street Historic District risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.64.6This tracttract 032300Lancaster: 2.62.6Lancasterparent cityCounty: 2.92.9Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.73.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 52

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 347Total filings over 13 yrs
  • 5.49%Avg annual filing rate
  • 8.7%Peak (2005)
  • 22Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2004 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 390450323002004: 27 filings (5.73/100 renter HHs)2005: 33 filings (8.66/100 renter HHs)2006: 31 filings (8.14/100 renter HHs)2007: 26 filings (6.82/100 renter HHs)2008: 28 filings (7.35/100 renter HHs)2009: 21 filings (5.51/100 renter HHs)2010: 33 filings (5.87/100 renter HHs)2011: 26 filings (4.13/100 renter HHs)2012: 33 filings (5.24/100 renter HHs)2013: 20 filings (3.17/100 renter HHs)2014: 20 filings (3.17/100 renter HHs)2015: 27 filings (4.29/100 renter HHs)2016: 22 filings (3.27/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 19% over the past 13 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Lancaster West Main Street Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Lancaster West Main Street Historic District

What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 8.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Lancaster eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Fairfield County average of 5.0 and above the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 12.3% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 9.4% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 52nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 39045032300

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39045032300?

Census tract 39045032300 in the Lancaster West Main Street Historic District neighborhood scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 39045032300?

Median gross rent is $1,048/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 39% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 39045032300?

20.2% of residents in tract 39045032300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,939.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 39045032300?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 52th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 66th, household 48th, minority 3th, housing 50th.
Q5

Is tract 39045032300 considered part of Lancaster West Main Street Historic District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39045032300 fall within Lancaster West Main Street Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39045032300?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 347 eviction filings across 13 validated years in tract 39045032300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.49% of renter households, peaking at 8.7% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 39045032300 struggle to pay rent?

About 12.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 39045032300 compare to Lancaster overall?

Tract 39045032300 scores 4.6/10, higher than the parent city of Lancaster at 2.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lancaster eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Lancaster

Top eight tracts in Lancaster ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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