HarborWalk Eviction Risk: Moderate , Lorain
Tract 39093022200 · Lorain County, OH · pop 2,605 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
With a score of 5.9/10, tract 39093022200 in the HarborWalk area of Lorain, OH reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Severe burden reaches 30%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Lorain and the region
Centroid at 41.4722, -82.1642 · click any tract to drill in
Why HarborWalk scores 5.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow HarborWalk compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 79
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 71%Socioeconomic
- 83%Household composition
- 49%Racial/ethnic minority
- 77%Housing & transportation
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 11%Grade B
- 65%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 444Total filings over 11 yrs
- 8.26%Avg annual filing rate
- 10.6%Peak (2014)
- 30Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within HarborWalk. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 16.4%Housing insecurity
- 12.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 21.3%Food insecurity
- 18.8%SNAP enrollment
- 10.8%Transit barriers
- 12.0%No health insurance
- 20.2%Frequent mental distress
- 34.1%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in HarborWalk
The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 8.6/10. Against the Lorain County average of 4.1, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.8 points.
Sitting well above the midpoint, housing-court posture reads 8/10. The poverty rate is 24%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 2.1/10.
Court records carry 444 eviction filings across 11 observed years. Filings peaked in 2014 at 10.6% of renter households. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.
In a typical year about 8.3% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 77th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Social vulnerability reads 8.1/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Statewide the OH average is 4.2, so this tract runs 1.7 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
About tract 39093022200
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39093022200?
What is the average rent in tract 39093022200?
What is the poverty rate in tract 39093022200?
How socially vulnerable is tract 39093022200?
Is tract 39093022200 considered part of HarborWalk?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39093022200?
What share of households in tract 39093022200 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 39093022200 compare to Lorain overall?
Was tract 39093022200 historically redlined?
Highest-risk tracts in Lorain
Top eight tracts in Lorain ranked by composite eviction-risk score.