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Neighborhood · Ranked #19,618 of 84,120 nationally

HarborWalk Eviction Risk: Moderate , Lorain

Tract 39093022200 · Lorain County, OH · pop 2,605 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

With a score of 5.9/10, tract 39093022200 in the HarborWalk area of Lorain, OH reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Severe burden reaches 30%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score
5.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 19% Stable renters 25% Owners 56%
Tract context
Occupied units1,121
Renter share44.4%
SVI overall0.79
Poverty rate23.9%
Median income$43,988

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In HarborWalk
Very High
Within parent city
60 th percentile
Rank, 60th percentileLowHigh
#9 of 21 tracts In Lorain
Elevated
Within county
87 th percentile
Rank, 87th percentileLowHigh
#11 of 79 tracts In Lorain County
High
Within state
94 th percentile
Rank, 94th percentileLowHigh
#190 of 3,162 tracts In Ohio
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Lorain and the region

Centroid at 41.4722, -82.1642 · click any tract to drill in

Why HarborWalk scores 5.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Lorain
5.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.9
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
23.9% poverty · this tract
6.0
Supply constraint
$897 rent vs county FMR
2.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lorain
7.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lorain
8.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lorain
8.0

How HarborWalk compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
HarborWalk risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.9This tracttract 0222004.5Lorainparent city4.1Countyavg tract in county4.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 79

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 444Total filings over 11 yrs
  • 8.26%Avg annual filing rate
  • 10.6%Peak (2014)
  • 30Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 39093022200
Filings dropped 25% over the past 11 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within HarborWalk. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in HarborWalk

The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 8.6/10. Against the Lorain County average of 4.1, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.8 points.

Sitting well above the midpoint, housing-court posture reads 8/10. The poverty rate is 24%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 2.1/10.

Court records carry 444 eviction filings across 11 observed years. Filings peaked in 2014 at 10.6% of renter households. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

In a typical year about 8.3% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 77th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Social vulnerability reads 8.1/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Statewide the OH average is 4.2, so this tract runs 1.7 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 39093022200

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39093022200?

Census tract 39093022200 in the HarborWalk neighborhood scores 5.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 39093022200?

Median gross rent is $897/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 39093022200?

23.9% of residents in tract 39093022200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,605.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 39093022200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 79th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 71th, household 83th, minority 49th, housing 77th.
Q5

Is tract 39093022200 considered part of HarborWalk?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39093022200 fall within HarborWalk (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39093022200?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 444 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 39093022200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.26% of renter households, peaking at 10.6% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 39093022200 struggle to pay rent?

About 16.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 39093022200 compare to Lorain overall?

Tract 39093022200 scores 5.9/10, higher than the parent city of Lorain at 4.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lorain eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 39093022200 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Lorain

Top eight tracts in Lorain ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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