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Neighborhood · Ranked #45,786 of 84,120 nationally

ONYX Eviction Risk: Moderate , Toledo

Tract 39095003500 · Lucas County, OH · pop 1,055 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

With a score of 4.2/10, tract 39095003500 in the ONYX area of Toledo, OH reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 1,055 residents. 22% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well below the Lucas County average of 41.3%.

Risk score
4.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 5% Stable renters 19% Owners 76%
Tract context
Occupied units368
Renter share23.9%
SVI overall0.73
Poverty rate10.9%
Median income$42,744

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 5 tracts In ONYX
Very Low
Within parent city
30 th percentile
Rank, 30th percentileLowHigh
#85 of 121 tracts In Toledo
Low
Within county
48 th percentile
Rank, 48th percentileLowHigh
#88 of 168 tracts In Lucas County
Moderate
Within state
57 th percentile
Rank, 57th percentileLowHigh
#1,370 of 3,162 tracts In Ohio
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Toledo and the region

Centroid at 41.6419, -83.5800 · click any tract to drill in

Why ONYX scores 4.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Toledo
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.8
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
10.9% poverty · this tract
2.7
Supply constraint
$1,144 rent vs county FMR
5.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Toledo
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Toledo
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Toledo
4.0

How ONYX compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
ONYX risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.2This tracttract 0035004.0Toledoparent city4.2Countyavg tract in county4.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 73

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 348Total filings over 15 yrs
  • 8.62%Avg annual filing rate
  • 17.6%Peak (2016)
  • 23Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2003 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 39095003500
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within ONYX. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in ONYX

What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 8.9/10. Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. Set annual rent against average income of $42,744 and the ratio lands at 32%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.

At $1,144 a month, rents run 27% over what the rest of Toledo commands. SNAP participation runs 28.5% against 15.2% nationally.

Food insecurity runs 31.0% against 17.8% nationally. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 2.4/10.

The filing record is not thin: 348 evictions over 15 years of observation. Severe burden reaches 9%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

The worst year on record was 2016, when 17.6% of renter households were served. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Toledo. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

In a typical year about 8.6% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 46th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

Only 24% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 39095003500

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39095003500?

Census tract 39095003500 in the ONYX neighborhood scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 39095003500?

Median gross rent is $1,144/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 22% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 39095003500?

10.9% of residents in tract 39095003500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,055.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 39095003500?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 73th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 70th, household 85th, minority 93th, housing 39th.
Q5

Is tract 39095003500 considered part of ONYX?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39095003500 fall within ONYX (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39095003500?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 348 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 39095003500 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.62% of renter households, peaking at 17.6% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 39095003500 struggle to pay rent?

About 25.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 18.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 39095003500 compare to Toledo overall?

Tract 39095003500 scores 4.2/10, right in line with the parent city of Toledo at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Toledo eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 39095003500 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Toledo

Top eight tracts in Toledo ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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