Elmhurst Eviction Risk: Lower , Toledo
Tract 39095005803 · Lucas County, OH · pop 1,990 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi
39095005803 is a census tract in the Elmhurst area of Toledo, OH. It scores 3.5/10 for landlords. Cost burden runs 23% here against 41.3% across Lucas County.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Toledo and the region
Centroid at 41.7132, -83.6000 · click any tract to drill in
Why Elmhurst scores 3.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Elmhurst compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 27
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 40%Socioeconomic
- 59%Household composition
- 10%Racial/ethnic minority
- 14%Housing & transportation
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 50%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Elmhurst. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 12.3%Housing insecurity
- 8.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 14.8%Food insecurity
- 12.2%SNAP enrollment
- 8.1%Transit barriers
- 9.0%No health insurance
- 19.3%Frequent mental distress
- 31.3%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Elmhurst
The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 8.9/10. 23% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. Running cool, economic stress reads 1.9/10.
At $1,047 a month, rents run 16% over what the rest of Toledo commands. Against the Lucas County average of 4.2, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.7 points.
This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Toledo. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. On the national scale it lands near the 31st percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
Only 14% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 3.4/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.
Annual rent works out to 21% of average household income of $60,067.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
About tract 39095005803
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39095005803?
What is the average rent in tract 39095005803?
What is the poverty rate in tract 39095005803?
How socially vulnerable is tract 39095005803?
Is tract 39095005803 considered part of Elmhurst?
What share of households in tract 39095005803 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 39095005803 compare to Toledo overall?
Was tract 39095005803 historically redlined?
Highest-risk tracts in Toledo
Top eight tracts in Toledo ranked by composite eviction-risk score.