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Neighborhood · Ranked #57,812 of 84,120 nationally

Elmhurst Eviction Risk: Lower , Toledo

Tract 39095006100 · Lucas County, OH · pop 3,045 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

Census tract 39095006100 covers part of the Elmhurst area of Toledo, OH, and scores 3.5/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,045 residents. Cost burden runs roughly one in four here against 41.3% across Lucas County.

Risk score
3.5
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4% Stable renters 13% Owners 83%
Tract context
Occupied units1,299
Renter share17.1%
SVI overall0.15
Poverty rate11.4%
Median income$73,299

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 4 tracts In Elmhurst
Very Low
Within parent city
15 th percentile
Rank, 15th percentileLowHigh
#103 of 121 tracts In Toledo
Very Low
Within county
37 th percentile
Rank, 37th percentileLowHigh
#106 of 168 tracts In Lucas County
Low
Within state
42 th percentile
Rank, 42nd percentileLowHigh
#1,831 of 3,162 tracts In Ohio
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Toledo and the region

Centroid at 41.6993, -83.6086 · click any tract to drill in

Why Elmhurst scores 3.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Toledo
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.8
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
11.4% poverty · this tract
2.9
Supply constraint
$1,097 rent vs county FMR
5.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Toledo
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Toledo
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Toledo
4.0

How Elmhurst compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Elmhurst risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.5This tracttract 0061004.0Toledoparent city4.2Countyavg tract in county4.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 15

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 215Total filings over 15 yrs
  • 5.99%Avg annual filing rate
  • 7.3%Peak (2016)
  • 18Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2003 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 39095006100
Filings climbed 157% over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Elmhurst. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Elmhurst

The dominant input is court filing pressure at 8.9/10. Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. At $1,097 a month, rents run 22% over what the rest of Toledo commands.

Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 2.4/10. Severe burden reaches 11%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 215 filings here across 15 tracked years.

It sits 0.7 points below the Lucas County average of 4.2. The worst year on record was 2016, when 7.3% of renter households were served.

In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground B ("Still Desirable"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 6.0% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #57,812 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Only 17% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 2.3/10.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 39095006100

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39095006100?

Census tract 39095006100 in the Elmhurst neighborhood scores 3.5/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 39095006100?

Median gross rent is $1,097/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 25% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 39095006100?

11.4% of residents in tract 39095006100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,045.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 39095006100?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 15th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 25th, household 26th, minority 32th, housing 12th.
Q5

Is tract 39095006100 considered part of Elmhurst?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39095006100 fall within Elmhurst (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39095006100?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 215 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 39095006100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.99% of renter households, peaking at 7.3% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 39095006100 struggle to pay rent?

About 12.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 39095006100 compare to Toledo overall?

Tract 39095006100 scores 3.5/10, lower than the parent city of Toledo at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Toledo eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 39095006100 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Toledo

Top eight tracts in Toledo ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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