Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #41,206 of 84,120 nationally
Elmhurst Eviction Risk: Moderate , Toledo
Tract 39095006000 · Lucas County, OH · pop 2,453 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
39095006000 is a census tract in the Elmhurst area of Toledo, OH. It scores 4.5/10 for landlords. Cost burden runs 56% here against 41.3% across Lucas County.
Risk score
4.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 20%
Stable renters 16%
Owners 64%
Tract context
Occupied units1,026
Renter share36.4%
SVI overall0.44
Poverty rate23.0%
Median income$80,500
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
38
th percentile
Low
Within county
55
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
62
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Toledo and the region
Centroid at 41.6992, -83.6183 · click any tract to drill in
Why Elmhurst scores 4.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Toledo
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.8
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
23.0% poverty · this tract
5.8
Supply constraint
$1,023 rent vs county FMR
4.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Toledo
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Toledo
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Toledo
4.0
How Elmhurst compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 44
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 50%Socioeconomic
- 58%Household composition
- 52%Racial/ethnic minority
- 26%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 16%Grade B
- 8%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 204Total filings over 15 yrs
- 6.54%Avg annual filing rate
- 8.1%Peak (2012)
- 12Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Elmhurst. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 12.2%Housing insecurity
- 9.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 15.3%Food insecurity
- 13.5%SNAP enrollment
- 8.3%Transit barriers
- 8.2%No health insurance
- 18.4%Frequent mental distress
- 32.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Elmhurst
The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 8.9/10. Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. The severe-burden share is 14%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
The poverty rate is 23%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. On the softer side, state political climate reads 2.4/10. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 204 filings here across 15 tracked years.
At $1,023 a month, rents run 14% over what the rest of Toledo commands. Filings peaked in 2012 at 8.1% of renter households.
This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Toledo. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 6.5% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 51% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 5/10.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 39095006000
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39095006000?
Census tract 39095006000 in the Elmhurst neighborhood scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 39095006000?
Median gross rent is $1,023/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 39095006000?
23.0% of residents in tract 39095006000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,453.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 39095006000?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 44th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 50th, household 58th, minority 52th, housing 26th.
Q5
Is tract 39095006000 considered part of Elmhurst?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39095006000 fall within Elmhurst (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39095006000?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 204 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 39095006000 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.54% of renter households, peaking at 8.1% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 39095006000 struggle to pay rent?
About 12.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 39095006000 compare to Toledo overall?
Tract 39095006000 scores 4.5/10, higher than the parent city of Toledo at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Toledo eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 39095006000 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Toledo
Top eight tracts in Toledo ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · OH
United
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
Vistula Historic District
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
Birmingham
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
Heather Downs
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
Bush Street Historic District
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
East Toledo
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
Middle Grounds
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
Auburn-Delaware
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
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