Neighborhood · Toledo, OH

Elmhurst Eviction Risk: Moderate

4 census tracts · pop 12,292 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.1/10 · range 3.8–4.5

Elmhurst is a white (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Toledo with 4 census tracts and a population of 12,292 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 4.1/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 33% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 17% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $991/month sits 10% higher than the Toledo citywide average ($901).

Risk score

4.1

Moderate

4 tracts · population-weighted

Elmhurst vs Toledo How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

33.0% +16%

Toledo: 28.4%

Average gross rent

$991 +10%

Toledo: $901

Average HH income

$70,607 +49%

Toledo: $47,532

Poverty rate

14.7% -40%

Toledo: 24.5%

Renter share

29.4% -37%

Toledo: 46.7%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Elmhurst and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 4 tracts span score 3.8–4.5

Why Elmhurst scores 4.1

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 2.4–2.4 across tracts

2.4

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.8–5.8 across tracts

5.8

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts

5.5

Rent control risk

33% of income on rent · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts

1.5

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts

4.0

Tenant organizing strength

29% renter households · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts

4.5

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts

4.0

Economic stress

14.7% below poverty line · Range 1.9–5.8 across tracts

3.7

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.4–5.4 across tracts

4.4

Risk score comparison

Elmhurst vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Elmhurst?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution

0246810

Spread of 0.7 points from 3.8 to 4.5. Tracts are relatively uniform, so conditions feel similar throughout the neighborhood.

Tracts as heat grid

4.5 4.2 3.8 3.8

Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.

Census tracts

4 tracts in Elmhurst

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
39095006000	4.5	2,453	56%	$1,023
39095005902	4.2	4,804	31%	$884
39095006100	3.8	3,045	25%	$1,097
39095005803	3.8	1,990	23%	$1,047

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 45

Pop-weighted across 4 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 44%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 54%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 38%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 46%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Elmhurst

Aggregated across 3 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

2,238Total filings (sum)
11.16%Avg annual filing rate
30.3%Peak year (2016)
9.89%Latest filed (2018)

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Elmhurst

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

12.9%Housing insecurity
9.4%Utility shutoff threat
15.7%Food insecurity
13.3%SNAP enrollment
8.8%No health insurance
31.6%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Elmhurst

What is the eviction-risk score for Elmhurst?

Elmhurst scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier) across 4 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Elmhurst compare to Toledo overall?

Elmhurst scores 0.8 points higher than Toledo overall (3.3/10). Renters spend 33% of income on rent vs 28% citywide. Average rent: $991 vs $901.

What is the average rent in Elmhurst?

Average gross rent in Elmhurst is $991/month (pop-weighted across 4 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 33% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Elmhurst residents are renters?

29% of Elmhurst households are renter-occupied (vs 47% in Toledo). The neighborhood has 12,292 residents.

Is Elmhurst a high social-vulnerability area?

Elmhurst sits in the 45th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Which tracts in Elmhurst have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Elmhurst is census tract 39095006000 (score 4.5/10). Across the 4 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3.8 to 4.5, a spread of 0.7 points.

How safe is Elmhurst for landlords?

Elmhurst carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.1/10). Pop-weighted across 4 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Toledo as a whole (3.3/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Elmhurst?

Elmhurst has 11,842 residents (White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (78.4%), Other / Multiracial (9.2%), Hispanic / Latino (6.2%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Elmhurst

4.2 Deveaux 6 tracts · pop 12,624 4.8 Homeville 4 tracts · pop 9,619 4.1 Franklin Park 7 tracts · pop 18,302 3 Westgate 2 tracts · pop 7,095 4.6 Library Village 2 tracts · pop 6,312 4.9 North Towne 3 tracts · pop 7,166

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Toledo

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Elmhurst.

4 Franklin Park 7 tracts · pop 18,302 4 Ottawa 1 tracts · pop 3,359 4 Deveaux 6 tracts · pop 12,624 3.9 Old Orchard 2 tracts · pop 4,486 4.3 Southwyck 6 tracts · pop 17,687 3.8 Harvard Village 1 tracts · pop 2,731

Zoom out