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Neighborhood · Toledo, OH

Elmhurst Eviction Risk: Lower

4 census tracts · pop 12,292 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.9/10 · range 3.5–4.5

Elmhurst is a 4-tract neighborhood of Toledo, OH, population 12,292. Scored across those inputs it reaches 3.9/10, placing it in the Lower tier. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure, at 1.5/10.

Severe burden reaches 17%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. The 4 tracts inside this boundary do not behave alike. Individual scores run 3.5 to 4.5, a 1-point gap wide enough that the area average misleads on any specific address.

Filings are well documented here: 2,238 across 3 observed tracts. Against a Toledo baseline of 28.4%, 33% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line. The worst year on record was 2016, when filings touched 30.3% of renter households.

At $991 a month, rents sit 10% over what the rest of Toledo commands. The most recent observed rate, 8.9% in 2018, is well off that peak. That places it #37 of 45 neighborhoods in Toledo.

Rent takes 17% of average household income, comfortably inside the 30% line and unusually low for a rental sub-market. 29% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Underwrite the address, not the area: with 1 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
3.9
Lower
4 tracts · population-weighted
Elmhurst vs Toledo How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
33.0% +16%
Toledo: 28.4%
Average gross rent
$991 +10%
Toledo: $901
Average HH income
$70,607 +49%
Toledo: $47,532
Poverty rate
14.7% -40%
Toledo: 24.5%
Renter share
29.4% -37%
Toledo: 46.7%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Elmhurst and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 4 tracts span score 3.5–4.5

Why Elmhurst scores 3.9

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.4–2.4 across tracts
2.4
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.8–5.8 across tracts
5.8
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Rent control risk
33% of income on rent · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
29% renter households · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts
4.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts
4.0
Economic stress
14.7% below poverty line · Range 1.9–5.8 across tracts
3.7
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.4–5.4 across tracts
4.4
Risk score comparison

Elmhurst vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Elmhurst score vs. parent city, state, U.S.3.9ElmhurstNeighborhood4.0Parent cityhost city4.0Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Elmhurst?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 1 points from 3.5 to 4.5. Moderate variation across constituent tracts.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

4 tracts in Elmhurst

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
39095006000 4.5 2,453 56% $1,023
39095005902 4 4,804 31% $884
39095006100 3.5 3,045 25% $1,097
39095005803 3.5 1,990 23% $1,047
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 45

Pop-weighted across 4 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 44%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 54%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 38%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 46%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Elmhurst

Aggregated across 3 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 2,238Total filings (sum)
  • 11.16%Avg annual filing rate
  • 30.3%Peak year (2016)
  • 9.89%Latest filed (2018)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Elmhurst

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Elmhurst

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Elmhurst?

Elmhurst scores 3.9/10 (Lower tier) across 4 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Elmhurst compare to Toledo overall?

Elmhurst scores 0.1 points lower than Toledo overall (4/10). Renters spend 33% of income on rent vs 28% citywide. Average rent: $991 vs $901.
Q3

What is the average rent in Elmhurst?

Average gross rent in Elmhurst is $991/month (pop-weighted across 4 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 33% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Elmhurst residents are renters?

29% of Elmhurst households are renter-occupied (vs 47% in Toledo). The neighborhood has 12,292 residents.
Q5

Is Elmhurst a high social-vulnerability area?

Elmhurst sits in the 45th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Elmhurst have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Elmhurst is census tract 39095006000 (score 4.5/10). Across the 4 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3.5 to 4.5, a spread of 1 points.
Q7

How safe is Elmhurst for landlords?

Elmhurst carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.9/10). Pop-weighted across 4 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Toledo as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Elmhurst?

Elmhurst has 11,842 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (78.4%), Other / Multiracial (9.2%), Hispanic / Latino (6.2%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Elmhurst

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Toledo

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Elmhurst.

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