Neighborhood · Ranked #48,956 of 84,120 nationally

Hunting Creek Eviction Risk: Moderate , Toledo

Tract 39095007502 · Lucas County, OH · pop 1,811 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi

With a score of 4/10, tract 39095007502 in the Hunting Creek area of Toledo, OH reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 1,811 residents. Cost burden runs 58% here against 41.3% across Lucas County.

Risk score

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 16% Stable renters 12% Owners 72%

Tract context

Occupied units899

Renter share28.3%

SVI overall0.47

Poverty rate12.7%

Median income$59,213

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Toledo and the region

Centroid at 41.6606, -83.6618 · click any tract to drill in

Why Hunting Creek scores 4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Toledo

5.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.8

State political climate

Ohio legislature & governorship

2.4

Economic stress

12.7% poverty · this tract

3.2

Supply constraint

$1,023 rent vs county FMR

4.7

Rent control risk

Inherited from Toledo

1.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

4.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Toledo

4.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Toledo

4.0

How Hunting Creek compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 47

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

64%Socioeconomic
20%Household composition
48%Racial/ethnic minority
41%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
58%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Hunting Creek. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

14.0%Housing insecurity
10.9%Utility-shutoff threat
17.7%Food insecurity
16.0%SNAP enrollment
9.5%Transit barriers
8.2%No health insurance
18.0%Frequent mental distress
33.0%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Hunting Creek

The dominant input is court filing pressure at 8.9/10. Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10.

13% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. On the softer side, state political climate reads 2.4/10. Average gross rent is $1,023, 14% above the Toledo average.

This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Toledo. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. That is riskier than roughly 42% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Social vulnerability reads 5.2/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.

It tracks the Lucas County average of 4.2 closely. Annual rent works out to 21% of average household income of $59,213.

28% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 39095007502

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39095007502?

Census tract 39095007502 in the Hunting Creek neighborhood scores 4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 39095007502?

Median gross rent is $1,023/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 39095007502?

12.7% of residents in tract 39095007502 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,811.

How socially vulnerable is tract 39095007502?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 47th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 64th, household 20th, minority 48th, housing 41th.

Is tract 39095007502 considered part of Hunting Creek?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39095007502 fall within Hunting Creek (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 39095007502 struggle to pay rent?

About 14.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 39095007502 compare to Toledo overall?

Tract 39095007502 scores 4/10, right in line with the parent city of Toledo at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Toledo eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 39095007502 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Toledo

Top eight tracts in Toledo ranked by composite eviction-risk score.