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Neighborhood · Ranked #46,312 of 84,120 nationally

Hunting Creek Eviction Risk: Lower , Toledo

Tract 39095008501 · Lucas County, OH · pop 2,655 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

In the Hunting Creek neighborhood of Toledo, census tract 39095008501 scores 5.4/10 for eviction risk. That is riskier than about 52% of US census tracts.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 46% of renter households, a severe level, and 18% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $970 a month against an average household income of $71,576 a year, roughly 16% of income at the averages. Renters make up 28% of occupied homes.

Risk score
3.7
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 13% Stable renters 15% Owners 72%
Tract context
Occupied units1,256
Renter share27.9%
SVI overall0.30
Poverty rate9.0%
Median income$71,576

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 7 tracts In Hunting Creek
Moderate
Within parent city
12 th percentile
Rank, 12th percentileLowHigh
#107 of 121 tracts In Toledo
Very Low
Within county
35 th percentile
Rank, 35th percentileLowHigh
#109 of 168 tracts In Lucas County
Low
Within state
54 th percentile
Rank, 54th percentileLowHigh
#1,450 of 3,162 tracts In Ohio
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Toledo and the region

Centroid at 41.6612, -83.6749 · click any tract to drill in

Why Hunting Creek scores 3.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Toledo
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.8
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
9.0% poverty · this tract
2.3
Supply constraint
$970 rent vs county FMR
4.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Toledo
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Toledo
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Toledo
4.0

How Hunting Creek compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Hunting Creek risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.73.7This tracttract 008501Toledo: 3.33.3Toledoparent cityCounty: 4.14.1Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.73.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 30

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Hunting Creek. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Hunting Creek

What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 4.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Toledo eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Lucas County average of 5.5 and above the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of C ("Declining"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.

In CDC survey modeling, about 12.4% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 8.8% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 39095008501

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39095008501?

Census tract 39095008501 in the Hunting Creek neighborhood scores 3.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 39095008501?

Median gross rent is $970/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 39095008501?

9.0% of residents in tract 39095008501 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,655.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 39095008501?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 30th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 26th, household 11th, minority 42th, housing 63th.
Q5

Is tract 39095008501 considered part of Hunting Creek?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39095008501 fall within Hunting Creek (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 39095008501 struggle to pay rent?

About 12.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 39095008501 compare to Toledo overall?

Tract 39095008501 scores 3.7/10, higher than the parent city of Toledo at 3.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Toledo eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 39095008501 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Toledo

Top eight tracts in Toledo ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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