Neighborhood · Ranked #23,554 of 84,120 nationally

Kossuth Colony Historic District Eviction Risk: Moderate , Dayton

Tract 39113080600 · Montgomery County, OH · pop 1,309 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi

For landlords sizing up the Kossuth Colony Historic District neighborhood of Dayton, census tract 39113080600 carries a moderate eviction-risk score of 5.8/10. On the national scale it ranks #27,541 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

About 79% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 34% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,150 monthly, set against $46,648 in average yearly household income, roughly 30% of income at the averages. Renters make up 32% of occupied homes.

Risk score

5.1

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 26% Stable renters 7% Owners 67%

Tract context

Occupied units557

Renter share32.3%

SVI overall0.68

Poverty rate25.0%

Median income$46,648

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Dayton and the region

Centroid at 39.8012, -84.1799 · click any tract to drill in

Why Kossuth Colony Historic District scores 5.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Dayton

5.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.1

State political climate

Ohio legislature & governorship

2.4

Economic stress

25.0% poverty · this tract

6.2

Supply constraint

$1,150 rent vs county FMR

5.7

Rent control risk

Inherited from Dayton

1.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

4.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Dayton

4.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Dayton

3.5

How Kossuth Colony Historic District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 68

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

84%Socioeconomic
74%Household composition
24%Racial/ethnic minority
38%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
5%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.¹

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

265Total filings over 17 yrs
9.76%Avg annual filing rate
13.3%Peak (2014)
14Filings in 2018 (latest validated)

Filings by year 2002 to 2018

Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 17 months.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Kossuth Colony Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

13.8%Housing insecurity
11.2%Utility-shutoff threat
18.7%Food insecurity
18.4%SNAP enrollment
10.3%Transit barriers
8.9%No health insurance
20.6%Frequent mental distress
36.9%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Kossuth Colony Historic District

What moves this score most is economic stress at 6.2/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Dayton eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Montgomery County average of 5.4 and above the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of C ("Declining"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.

In CDC survey modeling, about 13.8% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 11.2% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 39113080600

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39113080600?

Census tract 39113080600 in the Kossuth Colony Historic District neighborhood scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 39113080600?

Median gross rent is $1,150/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 79% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 39113080600?

25.0% of residents in tract 39113080600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,309.

How socially vulnerable is tract 39113080600?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 68th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 84th, household 74th, minority 24th, housing 38th.

Is tract 39113080600 considered part of Kossuth Colony Historic District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39113080600 fall within Kossuth Colony Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39113080600?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 265 eviction filings across 17 validated years in tract 39113080600 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 9.76% of renter households, peaking at 13.3% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.

What share of households in tract 39113080600 struggle to pay rent?

About 13.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 39113080600 compare to Dayton overall?

Tract 39113080600 scores 5.1/10, higher than the parent city of Dayton at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Dayton eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 39113080600 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Dayton

Top eight tracts in Dayton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Eviction Lab tract-level court records (2000-2018) and Eviction Tracking System, Princeton University. Open Data Commons Attribution license. evictionlab.org