Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Census Tract · Ranked #68,306 of 84,120 nationally
Middletown Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 39165030700 · Warren County, OH · pop 7,448 · 42% of tract blocks fall in Middletown
Middletown anchors census tract 39165030700, which lands at 5.2/10 on landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than about 45% of US census tracts.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 48% of renter households, a severe level, and 17% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,074 monthly, set against $104,439 in average yearly household income, roughly 12% of income at the averages. Renters make up 15% of occupied homes.
Risk score
2.4
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 7%
Stable renters 8%
Owners 85%
Tract context
Occupied units2,824
Renter share15.1%
SVI overall0.20
Poverty rate5.4%
Median income$104,439
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
74
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
24
th percentile
Low
National
19
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Middletown and the region
Centroid at 39.5040, -84.2973 · click any tract to drill in
Why Middletown scores 2.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Middletown
4.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.5
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
5.4% poverty · this tract
1.4
Supply constraint
$1,074 rent vs county FMR
3.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Middletown
6.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Middletown
8.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Middletown
7.1
How Middletown compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 20
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 14%Socioeconomic
- 19%Household composition
- 9%Racial/ethnic minority
- 59%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 378Total filings over 8 yrs
- 7.12%Avg annual filing rate
- 12.7%Peak (2004)
- 45Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 8 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 8.4%Housing insecurity
- 5.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 9.7%Food insecurity
- 7.1%SNAP enrollment
- 5.7%Transit barriers
- 6.6%No health insurance
- 16.1%Frequent mental distress
- 26.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Middletown
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 8.8/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Middletown eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Warren County average of 4.4 and in line with the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 20th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 378 eviction filings here over 8 tracked years, with about 7.1% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 12.7% of renter households in 2004.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 39165030700
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39165030700?
Census tract 39165030700 in Middletown scores 2.4/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 39165030700?
Median gross rent is $1,074/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 39165030700?
5.4% of residents in tract 39165030700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,448.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 39165030700?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 20th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 14th, household 19th, minority 9th, housing 59th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39165030700?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 378 eviction filings across 8 validated years in tract 39165030700 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.12% of renter households, peaking at 12.7% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 39165030700 struggle to pay rent?
About 8.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 39165030700 compare to Middletown overall?
Tract 39165030700 scores 2.4/10, lower than the parent city of Middletown at 2.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Middletown eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Middletown
Top eight tracts in Middletown ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · OH
Downtown
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
39017014000
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Rosedale / The Oaks
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
South Main Street Historic District
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
South Main Street Historic District
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
39017013600
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
39017013500
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
Downtown
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
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