Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Union Station South Eviction Risk: Lower , Broken Arrow
Tract 40143007412 ·
Tulsa County, OK · pop 3,579 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
40143007412 is a census tract in the Union Station South area of Broken Arrow, OK. It scores 3/10 for landlords. It is home to 3,579 residents. What pushes it up most is supply constraint at 10/10.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 1%Stable renters 2%Owners 97%
Tract context
Occupied units1,314
Renter share3.9%
SVI overall0.41
Poverty rate2.4%
Median income$112,365
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100th percentile
#1 of 3 tracts In Union Station South
Very High
Within parent city
35th percentile
#29 of 44 tracts In Broken Arrow
Low
Within county
25th percentile
#157 of 208 tracts In Tulsa County
Low
Within state
35th percentile
#781 of 1,205 tracts In Oklahoma
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Broken Arrow and the region
Centroid at 36.0536, -95.8421 · click any tract to drill in
Why Union Station South scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Broken Arrow
2.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.2
State political climate
Oklahoma legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
2.4% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,833 rent vs county FMR
10.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Broken Arrow
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Broken Arrow
1.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Broken Arrow
2.0
How Union Station South compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 41
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
17%Socioeconomic
61%Household composition
55%Racial/ethnic minority
62%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Union Station South. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
8.6%Housing insecurity
5.8%Utility-shutoff threat
10.2%Food insecurity
6.5%SNAP enrollment
5.6%Transit barriers
7.3%No health insurance
14.0%Frequent mental distress
31.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Union Station South
The voucher gap is 55.5%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Average gross rent is $1,833, 39% above the Broken Arrow average. 25% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 1/10. Running cool, economic stress reads 1/10. SNAP participation runs 6.5% against 15.2% nationally.
Food insecurity runs 10.2% against 17.8% nationally. Against the Tulsa County average of 3.7, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.7 points. Nationally it ranks #67,219 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
At 4% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 4.7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 40143007412
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 40143007412?
Census tract 40143007412 in the Union Station South neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 40143007412?
Median gross rent is $1,833/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 37% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 40143007412?
2.4% of residents in tract 40143007412 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,579.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 40143007412?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 41th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 17th, household 61th, minority 55th, housing 62th.
Q5
Is tract 40143007412 considered part of Union Station South?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 40143007412 fall within Union Station South (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 40143007412 struggle to pay rent?
About 8.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 40143007412 compare to Broken Arrow overall?
Tract 40143007412 scores 3/10, right in line with the parent city of Broken Arrow at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Broken Arrow eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Broken Arrow
Top eight tracts in Broken Arrow ranked by composite eviction-risk score.