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Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Union Station South Eviction Risk: Lower , Broken Arrow

Tract 40143007413 · Tulsa County, OK · pop 3,734 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

40143007413 is a census tract in the Union Station South area of Broken Arrow, OK. It scores 3/10 for landlords. It is home to 3,734 residents. The voucher gap is 42.2%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 6% Stable renters 14% Owners 80%
Tract context
Occupied units1,434
Renter share19.2%
SVI overall0.29
Poverty rate8.3%
Median income$81,667

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 3 tracts In Union Station South
Moderate
Within parent city
74 th percentile
Rank, 74th percentileLowHigh
#12 of 44 tracts In Broken Arrow
Elevated
Within county
24 th percentile
Rank, 24th percentileLowHigh
#158 of 208 tracts In Tulsa County
Low
Within state
35 th percentile
Rank, 35th percentileLowHigh
#781 of 1,205 tracts In Oklahoma
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Broken Arrow and the region

Centroid at 36.0537, -95.8242 · click any tract to drill in

Why Union Station South scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Broken Arrow
2.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.2
State political climate
Oklahoma legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
8.3% poverty · this tract
2.1
Supply constraint
$1,677 rent vs county FMR
9.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Broken Arrow
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Broken Arrow
1.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Broken Arrow
2.0

How Union Station South compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Union Station South risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.03.0This tracttract 007413Broken Arrow: 3.23.2Broken Arrowparent cityCounty: 3.73.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 29

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Union Station South. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Union Station South

The dominant input is supply constraint at 9.2/10. On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 1/10.

Cost burden runs 29% here against 40.3% across Tulsa County. Average gross rent is $1,677, 27% above the Broken Arrow average. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10.

Severe burden reaches 8%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Against the Tulsa County average of 3.7, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.7 points.

On the national scale it lands near the 20th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Only 19% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

Social vulnerability reads 3.6/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. Annual rent works out to 25% of average household income of $81,667.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 40143007413

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 40143007413?

Census tract 40143007413 in the Union Station South neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 40143007413?

Median gross rent is $1,677/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 29% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 40143007413?

8.3% of residents in tract 40143007413 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,734.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 40143007413?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 29th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 47th, household 58th, minority 46th, housing 6th.
Q5

Is tract 40143007413 considered part of Union Station South?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 40143007413 fall within Union Station South (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 40143007413 struggle to pay rent?

About 11.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 40143007413 compare to Broken Arrow overall?

Tract 40143007413 scores 3/10, right in line with the parent city of Broken Arrow at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Broken Arrow eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Broken Arrow

Top eight tracts in Broken Arrow ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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