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Neighborhood · Ranked #61,757 of 84,120 nationally

Hartford Park Eviction Risk: Lower , Broken Arrow

Tract 40145030506 · Wagoner County, OK · pop 2,148 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi

With a score of 3.4/10, tract 40145030506 in the Hartford Park neighborhood of Broken Arrow ranks in the Lower tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 2,148 residents. That is riskier than roughly 4% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

33% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a high level, and 13% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,234 a month against an average household income of $73,527 a year, roughly 20% of income at the averages. About 39% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
2.8
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 13% Stable renters 26% Owners 61%
Tract context
Occupied units978
Renter share39.5%
SVI overall0.74
Poverty rate9.7%
Median income$73,527

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Hartford Park
Very High
Within parent city
70 th percentile
Rank, 70th percentileLowHigh
#14 of 44 tracts In Broken Arrow
Elevated
Within county
54 th percentile
Rank, 54th percentileLowHigh
#12 of 25 tracts In Wagoner County
Moderate
Within state
21 th percentile
Rank, 21st percentileLowHigh
#955 of 1,205 tracts In Oklahoma
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Broken Arrow and the region

Centroid at 36.0778, -95.7409 · click any tract to drill in

Why Hartford Park scores 2.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Broken Arrow
2.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
2.5
State political climate
Oklahoma legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
9.7% poverty · this tract
2.4
Supply constraint
$1,234 rent vs county FMR
5.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Broken Arrow
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Broken Arrow
1.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Broken Arrow
2.0

How Hartford Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Hartford Park risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 2.82.8This tracttract 030506Broken Arrow: 1.91.9Broken Arrowparent cityCounty: 2.82.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.93.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 74

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Hartford Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Hartford Park

What moves this score most is supply constraint at 5.5/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Broken Arrow eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Wagoner County average of 4.0 and below the Oklahoma statewide average of 4.1. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 74th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

In CDC survey modeling, about 11.4% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 8.2% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, this is among the easier places to operate: faster process, lighter tenant-protection overhead, and shorter typical cases.

Frequently asked

About tract 40145030506

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 40145030506?

Census tract 40145030506 in the Hartford Park neighborhood scores 2.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 40145030506?

Median gross rent is $1,234/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 33% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 40145030506?

9.7% of residents in tract 40145030506 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,148.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 40145030506?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 74th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 60th, household 87th, minority 43th, housing 73th.
Q5

Is tract 40145030506 considered part of Hartford Park?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 40145030506 fall within Hartford Park (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 40145030506 struggle to pay rent?

About 11.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 40145030506 compare to Broken Arrow overall?

Tract 40145030506 scores 2.8/10, higher than the parent city of Broken Arrow at 1.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Broken Arrow eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Broken Arrow

Top eight tracts in Broken Arrow ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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