Neighborhood · Ranked #39,308 of 84,120 nationally
Oak Creek Park Extended Eviction Risk: Moderate , Broken Arrow
Tract 40145030507 ·
Wagoner County, OK · pop 2,749 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi
Tract 40145030507 sits in the Oak Creek Park Extended area of Broken Arrow eviction risk, OK, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.6/10. Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.
Risk score
4.6
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 11%Stable renters 20%Owners 69%
Tract context
Occupied units846
Renter share31.1%
SVI overall0.89
Poverty rate25.6%
Median income$56,429
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Oak Creek Park Extended
Moderate
Within parent city
100th percentile
#1 of 44 tracts In Broken Arrow
Very High
Within county
67th percentile
#9 of 25 tracts In Wagoner County
Elevated
Within state
77th percentile
#283 of 1,205 tracts In Oklahoma
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Broken Arrow and the region
Centroid at 36.0682, -95.7528 · click any tract to drill in
Why Oak Creek Park Extended scores 4.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Broken Arrow
2.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
2.5
State political climate
Oklahoma legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
25.6% poverty · this tract
6.4
Supply constraint
$1,157 rent vs county FMR
4.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Broken Arrow
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Broken Arrow
1.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Broken Arrow
2.0
How Oak Creek Park Extended compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 89
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
86%Socioeconomic
91%Household composition
70%Racial/ethnic minority
75%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
21.9%Housing insecurity
16.1%Utility-shutoff threat
29.6%Food insecurity
27.1%SNAP enrollment
14.5%Transit barriers
18.6%No health insurance
20.4%Frequent mental distress
42.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Oak Creek Park Extended
On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Running cool, tenant-organizing strength reads 1.5/10.
The poverty rate is 26%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. 12% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Housing insecurity runs 21.9% against 14.2% nationally. It sits 0.8 points above the Wagoner County average of 3.8.
Inability to pay a utility bill runs 16.1% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. At $1,157 a month, rents run 12% under what the rest of Broken Arrow commands.
On the national scale it lands near the 53rd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Social vulnerability reads 9/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.
Rent takes 30% or more of income for 37% of renters. Annual rent works out to 25% of average household income of $56,429.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 40145030507
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 40145030507?
Census tract 40145030507 in the Oak Creek Park Extended neighborhood scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 40145030507?
Median gross rent is $1,157/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 37% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 40145030507?
25.6% of residents in tract 40145030507 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,749.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 40145030507?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 89th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 86th, household 91th, minority 70th, housing 75th.
Q5
Is tract 40145030507 considered part of Oak Creek Park Extended?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 40145030507 fall within Oak Creek Park Extended (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 40145030507 struggle to pay rent?
About 21.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 16.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 40145030507 compare to Broken Arrow overall?
Tract 40145030507 scores 4.6/10, higher than the parent city of Broken Arrow at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Broken Arrow eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Broken Arrow
Top eight tracts in Broken Arrow ranked by composite eviction-risk score.