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Neighborhood · Ranked #21,564 of 84,120 nationally

Old Bend Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 41017001402 · Deschutes County, OR · pop 1,310 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

41017001402 is a census tract in the Old Bend area of Bend, OR. It scores 5.7/10 for landlords. Population here is 1,310. Cost burden runs 61% here against 45.0% across Deschutes County.

Risk score
5.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 25% Stable renters 16% Owners 59%
Tract context
Occupied units694
Renter share40.6%
SVI overall0.01
Poverty rate9.3%
Median income$111,131

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Old Bend
Very Low
Within parent city
46 th percentile
Rank, 46th percentileLowHigh
#13 of 23 tracts In Bend
Moderate
Within county
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#23 of 45 tracts In Deschutes County
Moderate
Within state
40 th percentile
Rank, 40th percentileLowHigh
#596 of 994 tracts In Oregon
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Bend and the region

Centroid at 44.0502, -121.3259 · click any tract to drill in

Why Old Bend scores 5.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Bend
6.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
9.3% poverty · this tract
2.3
Supply constraint
$2,250 rent vs county FMR
8.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Bend
7.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Bend
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Bend
6.5

How Old Bend compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Old Bend risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.7This tracttract 0014026.1Bendparent city5.6Countyavg tract in county6.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 1

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 18Total filings 2020-21
  • 1.6Avg monthly (observed)
  • 0.0Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.00×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2022-04-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Old Bend. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Old Bend

Severe burden reaches 33%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. The voucher gap is 35.0%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

The dominant input is supply constraint at 8.5/10. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 2.3/10. Average gross rent is $2,250, 19% above the Bend average.

Sitting well above the midpoint, state political climate reads 7.2/10. Nationally it ranks #21,564 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 1.1/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. It tracks the Deschutes County average of 5.6 closely.

Annual rent works out to 24% of average household income of $111,131. 41% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 41017001402

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41017001402?

Census tract 41017001402 in the Old Bend neighborhood scores 5.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 41017001402?

Median gross rent is $2,250/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 61% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 41017001402?

9.3% of residents in tract 41017001402 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,310.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 41017001402?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 1th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 22th, household 3th, minority 19th, housing 1th.
Q5

Is tract 41017001402 considered part of Old Bend?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 41017001402 fall within Old Bend (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How does tract 41017001402 compare to Bend overall?

Tract 41017001402 scores 5.7/10, lower than the parent city of Bend at 6.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bend eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Bend

Top eight tracts in Bend ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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