Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #19,618 of 84,120 nationally
Old Bend Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 41017001502 · Deschutes County, OR · pop 2,411 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
Census tract 41017001502 covers part of the Old Bend area of Bend, OR, and scores 5.9/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 2,411. Severe burden reaches 26%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
5.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 25%
Stable renters 24%
Owners 51%
Tract context
Occupied units1,257
Renter share49.6%
SVI overall0.26
Poverty rate8.3%
Median income$97,326
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
57
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
44
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Bend and the region
Centroid at 44.0520, -121.3119 · click any tract to drill in
Why Old Bend scores 5.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Bend
6.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
8.3% poverty · this tract
2.1
Supply constraint
$1,539 rent vs county FMR
4.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Bend
7.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Bend
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Bend
6.5
How Old Bend compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 26
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 40%Socioeconomic
- 6%Household composition
- 21%Racial/ethnic minority
- 51%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 215Total filings 2020-21
- 3.6Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.0Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.00×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Old Bend. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Old Bend
The clearest offset is economic stress at 2.1/10. At $1,539 a month, rents run 18% under what the rest of Bend commands.
On the high side, state political climate reads 7.2/10. 51% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, above the Deschutes County average of 45.0%. Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 7/10.
That is riskier than roughly 77% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 3.3/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.
It tracks the Deschutes County average of 5.6 closely. Annual rent works out to 19% of average household income of $97,326.
50% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 41017001502
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41017001502?
Census tract 41017001502 in the Old Bend neighborhood scores 5.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 41017001502?
Median gross rent is $1,539/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 41017001502?
8.3% of residents in tract 41017001502 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,411.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 41017001502?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 26th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 40th, household 6th, minority 21th, housing 51th.
Q5
Is tract 41017001502 considered part of Old Bend?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 41017001502 fall within Old Bend (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How does tract 41017001502 compare to Bend overall?
Tract 41017001502 scores 5.9/10, right in line with the parent city of Bend at 6.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bend eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Bend
Top eight tracts in Bend ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · OR
Larkspur
7.5
/ 10 · High
Tract · OR
Stone Creek
7.5
/ 10 · High
Tract · OR
Orchard District
7.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OR
River Rim
6.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OR
Southeast Bend
6.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OR
Orchard District
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OR
Orchard District
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OR
Larkspur
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
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