Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #14,308 of 84,120 nationally
Southeast Bend Eviction Risk: Elevated
Tract 41017002002 · Deschutes County, OR · pop 9,173 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
Tract 41017002002 sits in the Southeast Bend area of Bend eviction risk, OR, carrying an eviction-risk score of 6.7/10. Population here is 9,173. 28% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
6.7
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 12%
Stable renters 17%
Owners 71%
Tract context
Occupied units3,800
Renter share29.2%
SVI overall0.61
Poverty rate13.2%
Median income$86,157
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
82
th percentile
High
Within county
80
th percentile
High
Within state
64
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Bend and the region
Centroid at 44.0215, -121.3005 · click any tract to drill in
Why Southeast Bend scores 6.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Bend
6.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
13.2% poverty · this tract
3.3
Supply constraint
$2,015 rent vs county FMR
7.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Bend
7.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Bend
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Bend
6.5
How Southeast Bend compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 61
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 51%Socioeconomic
- 47%Household composition
- 47%Racial/ethnic minority
- 77%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 102Total filings 2020-21
- 2.0Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.0Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.00×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Southeast Bend. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Southeast Bend
The voucher gap is 20.9%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. The dominant input is state political climate at 7.2/10. It sits 1.1 points above the Deschutes County average of 5.6.
Sitting well above the midpoint, supply constraint reads 7.1/10. On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 7/10. Nationally it ranks #14,308 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Social vulnerability reads 6.4/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.
42% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent. Average gross rent is $2,015, close to the Bend average. Annual rent works out to 28% of average household income of $86,157.
29% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 41017002002
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41017002002?
Census tract 41017002002 in the Southeast Bend neighborhood scores 6.7/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 41017002002?
Median gross rent is $2,015/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 41017002002?
13.2% of residents in tract 41017002002 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 9,173.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 41017002002?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 61th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 51th, household 47th, minority 47th, housing 77th.
Q5
Is tract 41017002002 considered part of Southeast Bend?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 41017002002 fall within Southeast Bend (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How does tract 41017002002 compare to Bend overall?
Tract 41017002002 scores 6.7/10, higher than the parent city of Bend at 6.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bend eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Bend
Top eight tracts in Bend ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · OR
Stone Creek
7.5
/ 10 · High
Tract · OR
Larkspur
7.5
/ 10 · High
Tract · OR
Orchard District
7.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OR
River Rim
6.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OR
Larkspur
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OR
Orchard District
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OR
Orchard District
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OR
Orchard District
6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
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