Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #29,336 of 84,120 nationally
South Salem Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 41047002201 · Marion County, OR · pop 2,529 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
41047002201 is a census tract in the South Salem area of Salem, OR. It scores 5.2/10 for landlords. Population here is 2,529. Against Marion County at 48.4%, 23% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Risk score
5.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 6%
Stable renters 21%
Owners 73%
Tract context
Occupied units1,178
Renter share27.8%
SVI overall0.29
Poverty rate4.2%
Median income$92,917
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
18
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
34
th percentile
Low
Within state
29
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Salem and the region
Centroid at 44.9086, -123.0585 · click any tract to drill in
Why South Salem scores 5.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Salem
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
4.2% poverty · this tract
1.1
Supply constraint
$1,222 rent vs county FMR
2.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Salem
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Salem
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Salem
7.0
How South Salem compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 29
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 18%Socioeconomic
- 56%Household composition
- 44%Racial/ethnic minority
- 34%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 98Total filings over 16 yrs
- 2.22%Avg annual filing rate
- 5.4%Peak (2005)
- 2Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 85% over the past 16 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within South Salem. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in South Salem
The clearest offset is economic stress at 1.1/10. 14% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.5/10.
Sitting well above the midpoint, state political climate reads 7.2/10. Court records carry 98 eviction filings across 16 observed years. It sits 0.8 points below the Marion County average of 6.0.
Average gross rent is $1,222, 13% below the Salem average. Filings peaked in 2005 at 5.4% of renter households. In a typical year about 2.2% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 65% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 3.6/10.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 41047002201
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41047002201?
Census tract 41047002201 in the South Salem neighborhood scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 41047002201?
Median gross rent is $1,222/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 23% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 41047002201?
4.2% of residents in tract 41047002201 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,529.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 41047002201?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 29th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 18th, household 56th, minority 44th, housing 34th.
Q5
Is tract 41047002201 considered part of South Salem?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 41047002201 fall within South Salem (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 41047002201?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 98 eviction filings across 16 validated years in tract 41047002201 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.22% of renter households, peaking at 5.4% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 41047002201 compare to Salem overall?
Tract 41047002201 scores 5.2/10, lower than the parent city of Salem at 6.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Salem eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Salem
Top eight tracts in Salem ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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