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Neighborhood · Ranked #17,650 of 84,120 nationally

South Salem Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 41047001300 · Marion County, OR · pop 4,374 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi

With a score of 6.1/10, tract 41047001300 in the South Salem area of Salem, OR reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,374 residents. Severe burden reaches 23%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score
6.1
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 26% Stable renters 22% Owners 52%
Tract context
Occupied units1,886
Renter share47.3%
SVI overall0.40
Poverty rate10.8%
Median income$82,071

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 5 tracts In South Salem
Moderate
Within parent city
33 th percentile
Rank, 33rd percentileLowHigh
#27 of 40 tracts In Salem
Low
Within county
52 th percentile
Rank, 52nd percentileLowHigh
#32 of 65 tracts In Marion County
Moderate
Within state
48 th percentile
Rank, 48th percentileLowHigh
#515 of 994 tracts In Oregon
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Salem and the region

Centroid at 44.9274, -123.0629 · click any tract to drill in

Why South Salem scores 6.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Salem
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
10.8% poverty · this tract
2.7
Supply constraint
$1,325 rent vs county FMR
3.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Salem
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Salem
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Salem
7.0

How South Salem compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
South Salem risk score vs. parent city / county / state6.1This tracttract 0013006.4Salemparent city6.0Countyavg tract in county6.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 40

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 824Total filings over 16 yrs
  • 5.09%Avg annual filing rate
  • 8.1%Peak (2005)
  • 26Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 41047001300
Filings climbed 117% over the past 16 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within South Salem. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in South Salem

The dominant input is rent-regulation exposure at 7.5/10. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 2.7/10. 54% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, higher than the Marion County average of 48.4%.

Running hot, state political climate reads 7.2/10. Court records carry 824 eviction filings across 16 observed years. Filings peaked in 2005 at 8.1% of renter households.

In a typical year about 5.1% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #17,650 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 4.6/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. It tracks the Marion County average of 6.0 closely. Average gross rent is $1,325, close to the Salem average.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 41047001300

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41047001300?

Census tract 41047001300 in the South Salem neighborhood scores 6.1/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 41047001300?

Median gross rent is $1,325/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 41047001300?

10.8% of residents in tract 41047001300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,374.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 41047001300?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 40th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 40th, household 32th, minority 34th, housing 53th.
Q5

Is tract 41047001300 considered part of South Salem?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 41047001300 fall within South Salem (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 41047001300?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 824 eviction filings across 16 validated years in tract 41047001300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.09% of renter households, peaking at 8.1% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 41047001300 compare to Salem overall?

Tract 41047001300 scores 6.1/10, lower than the parent city of Salem at 6.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Salem eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Salem

Top eight tracts in Salem ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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