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Neighborhood · Ranked #13,812 of 84,120 nationally

South Salem Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 41047002101 · Marion County, OR · pop 2,141 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

With a score of 6.8/10, tract 41047002101 in the South Salem area of Salem, OR reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 2,141. The severe-burden share is 39%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
6.8
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 37% Stable renters 27% Owners 36%
Tract context
Occupied units1,238
Renter share64.5%
SVI overall0.51
Poverty rate10.6%
Median income$50,904

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 5 tracts In South Salem
High
Within parent city
54 th percentile
Rank, 54th percentileLowHigh
#19 of 40 tracts In Salem
Moderate
Within county
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#22 of 65 tracts In Marion County
Elevated
Within state
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#326 of 994 tracts In Oregon
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Salem and the region

Centroid at 44.9029, -123.0464 · click any tract to drill in

Why South Salem scores 6.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Salem
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
10.6% poverty · this tract
2.7
Supply constraint
$1,288 rent vs county FMR
3.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Salem
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Salem
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Salem
7.0

How South Salem compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
South Salem risk score vs. parent city / county / state6.8This tracttract 0021016.4Salemparent city6.0Countyavg tract in county6.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 51

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 507Total filings over 16 yrs
  • 7.93%Avg annual filing rate
  • 18.3%Peak (2000)
  • 16Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 41047002101
Filings dropped 73% over the past 16 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within South Salem. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in South Salem

Against Marion County at 48.4%, 58% of renters here are cost-burdened. The score leans hardest on rent-regulation exposure at 7.5/10.

Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 2.7/10. On the high side, state political climate reads 7.2/10. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 507 filings here across 16 tracked years.

Against the Marion County average of 6.0, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.8 points. Filings peaked in 2000 at 18.3% of renter households.

At $1,288 a month, rents run 8% under what the rest of Salem commands. In a typical year about 7.9% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 84th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 5.6/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Annual rent works out to 30% of average household income of $50,904.

64% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 41047002101

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41047002101?

Census tract 41047002101 in the South Salem neighborhood scores 6.8/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 41047002101?

Median gross rent is $1,288/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 41047002101?

10.6% of residents in tract 41047002101 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,141.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 41047002101?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 51th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 43th, household 50th, minority 38th, housing 64th.
Q5

Is tract 41047002101 considered part of South Salem?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 41047002101 fall within South Salem (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 41047002101?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 507 eviction filings across 16 validated years in tract 41047002101 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.93% of renter households, peaking at 18.3% in 2000. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 41047002101 compare to Salem overall?

Tract 41047002101 scores 6.8/10, higher than the parent city of Salem at 6.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Salem eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Salem

Top eight tracts in Salem ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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