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Neighborhood · Ranked #13,119 of 84,120 nationally

South Salem Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 41047002101 · Marion County, OR · pop 2,141 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

With a score of 6.4/10, tract 41047002101 in South Salem in Salem ranks in the Elevated tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 2,141 residents. On the national scale it ranks #13,262 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

58% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 39% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,288 a month against an average household income of $50,904 a year, roughly 30% of income at the averages. About 64% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
5.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 37% Stable renters 27% Owners 36%
Tract context
Occupied units1,238
Renter share64.5%
SVI overall0.51
Poverty rate10.6%
Median income$50,904

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 5 tracts In South Salem
High
Within parent city
56 th percentile
Rank, 56th percentileLowHigh
#18 of 40 tracts In Salem
Elevated
Within county
72 th percentile
Rank, 72nd percentileLowHigh
#19 of 65 tracts In Marion County
Elevated
Within state
82 th percentile
Rank, 82nd percentileLowHigh
#184 of 994 tracts In Oregon
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Salem and the region

Centroid at 44.9029, -123.0464 · click any tract to drill in

Why South Salem scores 5.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Salem
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
10.6% poverty · this tract
2.7
Supply constraint
$1,288 rent vs county FMR
3.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Salem
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Salem
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Salem
7.0

How South Salem compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
South Salem risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.95.9This tracttract 002101Salem: 7.37.3Salemparent cityCounty: 5.05.0Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.74.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 51

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 507Total filings over 16 yrs
  • 7.93%Avg annual filing rate
  • 18.3%Peak (2000)
  • 16Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 410470021012000: 60 filings (18.27/100 renter HHs)2001: 41 filings (12.49/100 renter HHs)2002: 47 filings (14.31/100 renter HHs)2003: 35 filings (10.66/100 renter HHs)2004: 32 filings (9.75/100 renter HHs)2005: 28 filings (7.77/100 renter HHs)2006: 45 filings (12.49/100 renter HHs)2007: 36 filings (9.99/100 renter HHs)2008: 17 filings (4.72/100 renter HHs)2009: 24 filings (6.66/100 renter HHs)2010: 23 filings (3.08/100 renter HHs)2011: 33 filings (4.67/100 renter HHs)2012: 26 filings (3.68/100 renter HHs)2013: 20 filings (2.83/100 renter HHs)2014: 24 filings (3.40/100 renter HHs)2016: 16 filings (2.12/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 73% over the past 16 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within South Salem. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in South Salem

The score leans hardest on rent-control risk at 7.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Salem eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Marion County average of 6.2 and above the Oregon statewide average of 6.0. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 507 eviction filings here over 16 tracked years, with about 7.9% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 18.3% of renter households in 2000.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 51st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 41047002101

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41047002101?

Census tract 41047002101 in the South Salem neighborhood scores 5.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 41047002101?

Median gross rent is $1,288/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 41047002101?

10.6% of residents in tract 41047002101 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,141.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 41047002101?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 51th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 43th, household 50th, minority 38th, housing 64th.
Q5

Is tract 41047002101 considered part of South Salem?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 41047002101 fall within South Salem (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 41047002101?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 507 eviction filings across 16 validated years in tract 41047002101 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.93% of renter households, peaking at 18.3% in 2000. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 41047002101 compare to Salem overall?

Tract 41047002101 scores 5.9/10, lower than the parent city of Salem at 7.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Salem eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Salem

Top eight tracts in Salem ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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