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Census Tract · Ranked #29,336 of 84,120 nationally

Keizer Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 41047002503 · Marion County, OR · pop 5,544 · 82% of tract blocks fall in Keizer

Tract 41047002503 sits in Keizer eviction risk, OR, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.2/10. It is home to 5,544 residents. Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1/10.

Risk score
5.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 26% Stable renters 30% Owners 44%
Tract context
Occupied units2,179
Renter share55.9%
SVI overall0.70
Poverty rate3.6%
Median income$67,375

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
33 th percentile
Rank, 33rd percentileLowHigh
#5 of 7 tracts In Keizer
Low
Within county
28 th percentile
Rank, 28th percentileLowHigh
#47 of 65 tracts In Marion County
Low
Within state
29 th percentile
Rank, 29th percentileLowHigh
#711 of 994 tracts In Oregon
Low
National
65 th percentile
Rank, 65th percentileLowHigh
#29,336 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Keizer and the region

Centroid at 45.0201, -123.0158 · click any tract to drill in

Why Keizer scores 5.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Keizer
5.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
3.6% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,427 rent vs county FMR
4.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Keizer
6.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Keizer
7.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Keizer
5.4

How Keizer compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Keizer risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.2This tracttract 0025035.9Keizerparent city6.0Countyavg tract in county6.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 70

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Keizer

On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 7.7/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, state political climate reads 7.2/10. The severe-burden share is 9%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Against the Marion County average of 6.0, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.8 points. Nationally it ranks #29,336 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7.3/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the OR average is 6.1, so this tract runs 0.9 points cooler.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. Poverty sits at 4%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

46% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent. Average gross rent is $1,427, close to the Keizer average. Annual rent works out to 25% of average household income of $67,375.

56% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 41047002503

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41047002503?

Census tract 41047002503 in Keizer scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 41047002503?

Median gross rent is $1,427/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 41047002503?

3.6% of residents in tract 41047002503 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,544.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 41047002503?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 70th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 43th, household 75th, minority 56th, housing 87th.
Q5

How does tract 41047002503 compare to Keizer overall?

Tract 41047002503 scores 5.2/10, lower than the parent city of Keizer at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Keizer eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Keizer

Top eight tracts in Keizer ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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