Within parent city
18
th percentile
Very Low
Census Tract · Ranked #13,119 of 84,120 nationally
Chester Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 42045404900 · Delaware County, PA · pop 1,210
Census tract 42045404900 covers Chester, home to 1,210 residents. For landlords it grades 7.3/10, an elevated reading. It lands near the 97th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 49% of renter households, a severe level, and 42% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,190 a month while the average household earns $70,667 a year, roughly 20% of income at the averages. About 63% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
5.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 31%
Stable renters 32%
Owners 37%
Tract context
Occupied units384
Renter share62.5%
SVI overall0.85
Poverty rate33.9%
Median income$70,667
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
90
th percentile
Very High
Within state
86
th percentile
High
National
84
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Chester and the region
Centroid at 39.8552, -75.3566 · click any tract to drill in
Why Chester scores 5.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Chester
6.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.3
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
33.9% poverty · this tract
8.5
Supply constraint
$1,190 rent vs county FMR
1.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chester
8.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chester
9.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chester
8.8
How Chester compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 85
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 80%Socioeconomic
- 62%Household composition
- 97%Racial/ethnic minority
- 83%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 27%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 287Total filings over 7 yrs
- 15.53%Avg annual filing rate
- 25.8%Peak (2006)
- 57Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 50% over the past 7 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Chester
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 9.6/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Chester eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Delaware County average of 5.9 and above the Pennsylvania statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of C ("Declining"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.
The tract is predominantly Black and ranks around the 85th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 42045404900
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42045404900?
Census tract 42045404900 in Chester scores 5.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 42045404900?
Median gross rent is $1,190/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 42045404900?
33.9% of residents in tract 42045404900 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,210.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 42045404900?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 85th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 80th, household 62th, minority 97th, housing 83th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42045404900?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 287 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 42045404900 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 15.53% of renter households, peaking at 25.8% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
How does tract 42045404900 compare to Chester overall?
Tract 42045404900 scores 5.9/10, higher than the parent city of Chester at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chester eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q7
Was tract 42045404900 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Chester
Top eight tracts in Chester ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · PA
42045410700
7.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
42045404700
6.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
42045405000
6.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
42045405200
6.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Viscose Village
6.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
42045404800
6.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
42045404400
6.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Viscose Village
6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
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