Chester Eviction Risk: Elevated

The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 9.6/10. The severe-burden share is 26%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1/10. The poverty rate is 35%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Average gross rent is $758, 31% below the Chester average.

Annualized rent equals 33% of average household income of $27,422, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.8/10.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 257 filings here across 7 tracked years. Filings peaked in 2000 at 7.0% of renter households. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground B ("Still Desirable"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

In a typical year about 6.4% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 89th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Social vulnerability reads 9.8/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.