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Census Tract · Ranked #5,690 of 84,120 nationally

Chester Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 42045405000 · Delaware County, PA · pop 1,945

Census tract 42045405000 belongs to Chester in Delaware County, Pennsylvania. It is home to 1,945 residents and scores 7.4/10, an elevated reading for landlords. It lands near the 98th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

About 51% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 26% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $758 a month against an average household income of $27,422 a year, roughly 33% of income at the averages. About 63% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
6.8
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 32% Stable renters 31% Owners 37%
Tract context
Occupied units713
Renter share63.0%
SVI overall0.98
Poverty rate34.5%
Median income$27,422

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
73 th percentile
Rank, 73rd percentileLowHigh
#4 of 12 tracts In Chester
Elevated
Within county
98 th percentile
Rank, 98th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 152 tracts In Delaware County
Very High
Within state
96 th percentile
Rank, 96th percentileLowHigh
#145 of 3,445 tracts In Pennsylvania
Very High
National
93 th percentile
Rank, 93rd percentileLowHigh
#5,690 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Chester and the region

Centroid at 39.8509, -75.3648 · click any tract to drill in

Why Chester scores 6.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Chester
6.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.3
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
34.5% poverty · this tract
8.6
Supply constraint
$758 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chester
8.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chester
9.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chester
8.8

How Chester compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Chester risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.86.8This tracttract 405000Chester: 4.64.6Chesterparent cityCounty: 3.43.4Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.93.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 98

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 257Total filings over 7 yrs
  • 6.37%Avg annual filing rate
  • 7.0%Peak (2000)
  • 34Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2006
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 420454050002000: 42 filings (7.00/100 renter HHs)2001: 40 filings (6.66/100 renter HHs)2002: 31 filings (5.16/100 renter HHs)2003: 35 filings (5.83/100 renter HHs)2004: 33 filings (5.50/100 renter HHs)2005: 42 filings (7.98/100 renter HHs)2006: 34 filings (6.46/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 19% over the past 7 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Chester

The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 9.6/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Chester eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores well above the Delaware County average of 5.9 and above the Pennsylvania statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly Black and ranks around the 98th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 257 eviction filings here over 7 tracked years, with about 6.4% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 7.0% of renter households in 2000.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 42045405000

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42045405000?

Census tract 42045405000 in Chester scores 6.8/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 42045405000?

Median gross rent is $758/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 42045405000?

34.5% of residents in tract 42045405000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,945.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 42045405000?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 98th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 94th, household 97th, minority 96th, housing 89th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42045405000?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 257 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 42045405000 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.37% of renter households, peaking at 7.0% in 2000. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

How does tract 42045405000 compare to Chester overall?

Tract 42045405000 scores 6.8/10, higher than the parent city of Chester at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chester eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q7

Was tract 42045405000 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Chester

Top eight tracts in Chester ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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