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Neighborhood · Ranked #8,138 of 84,120 nationally

Lakeside Eviction Risk: Elevated , Erie

Tract 42049000600 · Erie County, PA · pop 3,316 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

Here is how census tract 42049000600, in Lakeside in Erie eviction risk, looks to a landlord: a 5.8/10 eviction-risk score (Moderate tier) across a population of 3,316. That is riskier than roughly 67% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 40% of renter households, a severe level, and 29% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $541 a month while the average household earns $46,679 a year, roughly 14% of income at the averages. Renters make up 44% of occupied homes.

Risk score
6.4
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18% Stable renters 26% Owners 56%
Tract context
Occupied units1,199
Renter share44.1%
SVI overall0.67
Poverty rate25.4%
Median income$46,679

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Lakeside
Moderate
Within parent city
40 th percentile
Rank, 40th percentileLowHigh
#19 of 31 tracts In Erie
Moderate
Within county
74 th percentile
Rank, 74th percentileLowHigh
#20 of 73 tracts In Erie County
Elevated
Within state
92 th percentile
Rank, 92nd percentileLowHigh
#295 of 3,445 tracts In Pennsylvania
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Erie and the region

Centroid at 42.1458, -80.0515 · click any tract to drill in

Why Lakeside scores 6.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Erie
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
25.4% poverty · this tract
6.4
Supply constraint
$541 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Erie
3.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Erie
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Erie
5.0

How Lakeside compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Lakeside risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.46.4This tracttract 000600Erie: 4.84.8Erieparent cityCounty: 4.94.9Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.93.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 67

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,194Total filings over 7 yrs
  • 27.50%Avg annual filing rate
  • 31.8%Peak (2001)
  • 157Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2006
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 420490006002000: 170 filings (27.48/100 renter HHs)2001: 197 filings (31.84/100 renter HHs)2002: 178 filings (28.77/100 renter HHs)2003: 178 filings (28.77/100 renter HHs)2004: 171 filings (27.64/100 renter HHs)2005: 143 filings (22.89/100 renter HHs)2006: 157 filings (25.13/100 renter HHs)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 7 months.
Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Lakeside

The score leans hardest on economic stress at 6.4/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Erie eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Erie County average of 5.6 and above the Pennsylvania statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is White and Black and ranks around the 67th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 1,194 eviction filings here over 7 tracked years, with about 27.5% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 31.8% of renter households in 2001.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 42049000600

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42049000600?

Census tract 42049000600 in the Lakeside neighborhood scores 6.4/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 42049000600?

Median gross rent is $541/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 40% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 42049000600?

25.4% of residents in tract 42049000600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,316.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 42049000600?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 67th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 60th, household 96th, minority 66th, housing 28th.
Q5

Is tract 42049000600 considered part of Lakeside?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42049000600 fall within Lakeside (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42049000600?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,194 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 42049000600 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 27.50% of renter households, peaking at 31.8% in 2001. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 42049000600 compare to Erie overall?

Tract 42049000600 scores 6.4/10, higher than the parent city of Erie at 4.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Erie eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 42049000600 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Erie

Top eight tracts in Erie ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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