Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #61,558 of 84,120 nationally
Greengarden Terrace Eviction Risk: Lower , Erie
Tract 42049002100 · Erie County, PA · pop 3,680 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
42049002100 is a census tract in the Greengarden Terrace area of Erie, PA. It scores 3.3/10 for landlords. The clearest offset is economic stress at 1/10.
Risk score
3.3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 6%
Stable renters 10%
Owners 84%
Tract context
Occupied units1,714
Renter share15.6%
SVI overall0.25
Poverty rate2.6%
Median income$62,972
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
3
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
35
th percentile
Low
Within state
27
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Erie and the region
Centroid at 42.0921, -80.1105 · click any tract to drill in
Why Greengarden Terrace scores 3.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Erie
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
2.6% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,087 rent vs county FMR
4.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Erie
3.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Erie
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Erie
5.0
How Greengarden Terrace compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 25
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 38%Socioeconomic
- 31%Household composition
- 17%Racial/ethnic minority
- 25%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 74%Grade B
- 26%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 31Total filings over 7 yrs
- 3.04%Avg annual filing rate
- 5.1%Peak (2001)
- 2Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 7 months.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Greengarden Terrace
Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.2/10. Severe burden reaches 19%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Average gross rent is $1,087, 25% above the Erie average.
Cost burden runs 35% here against 42.3% across Erie County. Against the Erie County average of 4.3, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.0 points. The filing record is not thin: 31 evictions over 7 years of observation.
The worst year on record was 2001, when 5.1% of renter households were served. This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Erie. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 3.0% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 27% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. At 16% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 3.3/10.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 42049002100
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42049002100?
Census tract 42049002100 in the Greengarden Terrace neighborhood scores 3.3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 42049002100?
Median gross rent is $1,087/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 35% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 42049002100?
2.6% of residents in tract 42049002100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,680.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 42049002100?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 25th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 38th, household 31th, minority 17th, housing 25th.
Q5
Is tract 42049002100 considered part of Greengarden Terrace?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42049002100 fall within Greengarden Terrace (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42049002100?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 31 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 42049002100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.04% of renter households, peaking at 5.1% in 2001. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 42049002100 compare to Erie overall?
Tract 42049002100 scores 3.3/10, lower than the parent city of Erie at 4.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Erie eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 42049002100 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Erie
Top eight tracts in Erie ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · PA
Bayfront
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
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Baldwin Park
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Little Italy
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Midtown
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Eastside Eagles
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Burton
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Eastlawn Hills
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Downtown Erie
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
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