Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #32,735 of 84,120 nationally
Greengarden Terrace Eviction Risk: Moderate , Erie
Tract 42049002100 · Erie County, PA · pop 3,680 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
How risky is the Greengarden Terrace area of Erie for landlords? Census tract 42049002100 scores 5.2/10, the Moderate tier. On the national scale it ranks #46,387 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 35% of renter households, a high level, and 19% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,087 a month against an average household income of $62,972 a year, roughly 21% of income at the averages. Renters make up 16% of occupied homes.
Risk score
4.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 6%
Stable renters 10%
Owners 84%
Tract context
Occupied units1,714
Renter share15.6%
SVI overall0.25
Poverty rate2.6%
Median income$62,972
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
3
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
44
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
65
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Erie and the region
Centroid at 42.0921, -80.1105 · click any tract to drill in
Why Greengarden Terrace scores 4.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Erie
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
2.6% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,087 rent vs county FMR
4.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Erie
3.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Erie
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Erie
5.0
How Greengarden Terrace compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 25
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 38%Socioeconomic
- 31%Household composition
- 17%Racial/ethnic minority
- 25%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 74%Grade B
- 26%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 31Total filings over 7 yrs
- 3.04%Avg annual filing rate
- 5.1%Peak (2001)
- 2Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 7 months.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Greengarden Terrace
The heaviest input here is eviction process difficulty at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Erie eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Erie County average of 5.6 and in line with the Pennsylvania statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of B ("Still Desirable"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 31 eviction filings here over 7 tracked years, with about 3.0% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 5.1% of renter households in 2001.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 42049002100
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42049002100?
Census tract 42049002100 in the Greengarden Terrace neighborhood scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 42049002100?
Median gross rent is $1,087/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 35% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 42049002100?
2.6% of residents in tract 42049002100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,680.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 42049002100?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 25th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 38th, household 31th, minority 17th, housing 25th.
Q5
Is tract 42049002100 considered part of Greengarden Terrace?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42049002100 fall within Greengarden Terrace (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42049002100?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 31 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 42049002100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.04% of renter households, peaking at 5.1% in 2001. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 42049002100 compare to Erie overall?
Tract 42049002100 scores 4.5/10, lower than the parent city of Erie at 4.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Erie eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 42049002100 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Erie
Top eight tracts in Erie ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · PA
Burton
7.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Little Italy
7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Eastside Eagles
7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Saint Mary
7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
West Bayfront
7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Midtown
6.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Eastlawn Hills
6.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
West Bayfront
6.9
/ 10 · Elevated
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