Southwest Erie Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 42049002200 · Erie County, PA · pop 3,714 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
Tract 42049002200 covers the Southwest Erie neighborhood of Erie in Pennsylvania. Home to 3,714 residents, it scores 5.5/10 on landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than roughly 56% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
About 34% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a high level, and 27% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $934 monthly, set against $73,523 in average yearly household income, roughly 15% of income at the averages. Renters make up 31% of occupied homes.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Erie and the region
Centroid at 42.0975, -80.0961 · click any tract to drill in
Why Southwest Erie scores 5.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Southwest Erie compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 50
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 52%Socioeconomic
- 81%Household composition
- 32%Racial/ethnic minority
- 29%Housing & transportation
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 100%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 57Total filings over 7 yrs
- 2.22%Avg annual filing rate
- 3.7%Peak (2006)
- 15Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
What drives eviction risk in Southwest Erie
The heaviest input here is eviction process difficulty at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Erie eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Erie County average of 5.6 and in line with the Pennsylvania statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 57 eviction filings here over 7 tracked years, with about 2.2% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 3.7% of renter households in 2006.
HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of B ("Still Desirable"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
About tract 42049002200
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42049002200?
What is the average rent in tract 42049002200?
What is the poverty rate in tract 42049002200?
How socially vulnerable is tract 42049002200?
Is tract 42049002200 considered part of Southwest Erie?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42049002200?
How does tract 42049002200 compare to Erie overall?
Was tract 42049002200 historically redlined?
Highest-risk tracts in Erie
Top eight tracts in Erie ranked by composite eviction-risk score.