Marvintown Eviction Risk: Moderate , Erie
Tract 42049002500 · Erie County, PA · pop 2,470 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
42049002500 is a census tract in the Marvintown area of Erie, PA. It scores 5.5/10 for landlords. It is home to 2,470 residents. roughly two in three of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well clear of the Erie County average of 42.3%.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Erie and the region
Centroid at 42.1106, -80.0662 · click any tract to drill in
Why Marvintown scores 5.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Marvintown compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 88
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 86%Socioeconomic
- 95%Household composition
- 61%Racial/ethnic minority
- 67%Housing & transportation
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 100%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 174Total filings over 7 yrs
- 6.48%Avg annual filing rate
- 10.1%Peak (2004)
- 28Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
What drives eviction risk in Marvintown
Severe burden reaches 32%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 8.2/10. Against the Erie County average of 4.3, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.2 points.
The poverty rate is 21%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 2.7/10. Court records carry 174 eviction filings across 7 observed years.
The worst year on record was 2004, when 10.1% of renter households were served. This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Erie. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.
In a typical year about 6.5% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #23,808 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 9/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Statewide the PA average is 4.6, so this tract runs 0.9 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.
Average gross rent is $866, close to the Erie average.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
About tract 42049002500
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42049002500?
What is the average rent in tract 42049002500?
What is the poverty rate in tract 42049002500?
How socially vulnerable is tract 42049002500?
Is tract 42049002500 considered part of Marvintown?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42049002500?
How does tract 42049002500 compare to Erie overall?
Was tract 42049002500 historically redlined?
Highest-risk tracts in Erie
Top eight tracts in Erie ranked by composite eviction-risk score.