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Neighborhood · Erie, PA

Marvintown Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 2,470 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.5/10 · range 5.5–5.5

Marvintown is a one-tract neighborhood of Erie, PA, population 2,470. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 5.5/10, Moderate tier. 68% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, well clear of the Erie rate of 32.9%.

Severe burden reaches 32%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. The clearest offset is supply constraint, at 2.7/10.

The poverty rate is 21%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest. Court records for this tract carry 174 eviction filings. The worst year on record was 2004, when filings touched 10.1% of renter households.

Recent filings have not receded much: 6.7% in 2006 against a 10.1% peak. That places it #14 of 26 neighborhoods in Erie. The closest comparables inside the same city are Perry Park and Bayfront.

Social vulnerability runs high at 9/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. Average gross rent runs $866, close to the Erie average.

Annual rent works out to 23% of average household income of $46,033. 43% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

One tract means one number: 5.5/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
5.5
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Marvintown vs Erie How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
67.6% +105%
Erie: 32.9%
Average gross rent
$866 0%
Erie: $870
Average HH income
$46,033 +6%
Erie: $43,397
Poverty rate
21.0% -14%
Erie: 24.6%
Renter share
42.5% -7%
Erie: 45.9%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Marvintown and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 5.5–5.5

Why Marvintown scores 5.5

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.4–3.4 across tracts
3.4
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.1–5.1 across tracts
5.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Rent control risk
68% of income on rent · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
43% renter households · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts
4.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts
5.0
Economic stress
21.0% below poverty line · Range 5.3–5.3 across tracts
5.3
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.7–2.7 across tracts
2.7
Risk score comparison

Marvintown vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Marvintown score vs. parent city, state, U.S.5.5MarvintownNeighborhood4.4Parent cityhost city4.9Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Marvintown

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕ Score↕ Pop↕ % over 30% on rent↕ Average rent↕
42049002500 5.5 2,470 68% $866
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 88

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 86%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 95%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 61%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 67%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Marvintown

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 174Total filings (sum)
  • 6.48%Avg annual filing rate
  • 10.1%Peak year (2004)
  • 6.73%Latest filed (2006)
Frequently asked

About Marvintown

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Marvintown?

Marvintown scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Marvintown compare to Erie overall?

Marvintown scores 1.1 points higher than Erie overall (4.4/10). Renters spend 68% of income on rent vs 33% citywide. Average rent: $866 vs $870.
Q3

What is the average rent in Marvintown?

Average gross rent in Marvintown is $866/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 68% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Marvintown residents are renters?

43% of Marvintown households are renter-occupied (vs 46% in Erie). The neighborhood has 2,470 residents.
Q5

Is Marvintown a high social-vulnerability area?

Marvintown sits in the 88th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Marvintown for landlords?

Marvintown carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.5/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Erie as a whole (4.4/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Marvintown?

Marvintown has 2,373 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (56.6%), Black (non-Hispanic) (18.7%), Other / Multiracial (15.5%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Marvintown

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Erie

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Marvintown.

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