Skip to content
Neighborhood · Ranked #23,554 of 84,120 nationally

Rosemont Eviction Risk: Moderate , Bethlehem

Tract 42077009300 · Lehigh County, PA · pop 3,416 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

The Elevated-tier score of 6.4/10 for census tract 42077009300 reflects conditions in Rosemont in Bethlehem, Pennsylvania. That is riskier than roughly 84% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 41% of renter households, a severe level, and 17% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,210 a month while the average household earns $88,864 a year, roughly 16% of income at the averages. About 22% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
5.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 9% Stable renters 13% Owners 78%
Tract context
Occupied units1,522
Renter share22.3%
SVI overall0.38
Poverty rate17.2%
Median income$88,864

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Rosemont
Moderate
Within parent city
39 th percentile
Rank, 39th percentileLowHigh
#12 of 19 tracts In Bethlehem
Low
Within county
61 th percentile
Rank, 61st percentileLowHigh
#32 of 81 tracts In Lehigh County
Elevated
Within state
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#857 of 3,445 tracts In Pennsylvania
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Bethlehem and the region

Centroid at 40.6276, -75.4106 · click any tract to drill in

Why Rosemont scores 5.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Bethlehem
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
17.2% poverty · this tract
4.3
Supply constraint
$1,210 rent vs county FMR
3.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Bethlehem
7.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Bethlehem
9.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Bethlehem
7.1

How Rosemont compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Rosemont risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.15.1This tracttract 009300Bethlehem: 4.24.2Bethlehemparent cityCounty: 4.04.0Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.93.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 38

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: A: Best

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade A meant wealthy, predominantly white neighborhoods favored for lending. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 42Total filings over 7 yrs
  • 2.60%Avg annual filing rate
  • 4.9%Peak (2001)
  • 4Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2006
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 420770093002000: 5 filings (2.46/100 renter HHs)2001: 10 filings (4.92/100 renter HHs)2002: 3 filings (1.48/100 renter HHs)2003: 5 filings (2.46/100 renter HHs)2004: 6 filings (2.95/100 renter HHs)2005: 9 filings (2.74/100 renter HHs)2006: 4 filings (1.22/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 20% over the past 7 months.
Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Rosemont

What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 9.1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Bethlehem eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Lehigh County average of 5.8 and above the Pennsylvania statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 38th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of A ("Best"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 42077009300

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42077009300?

Census tract 42077009300 in the Rosemont neighborhood scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 42077009300?

Median gross rent is $1,210/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 42077009300?

17.2% of residents in tract 42077009300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,416.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 42077009300?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 38th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 51th, household 48th, minority 51th, housing 18th.
Q5

Is tract 42077009300 considered part of Rosemont?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42077009300 fall within Rosemont (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42077009300?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 42 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 42077009300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.60% of renter households, peaking at 4.9% in 2001. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 42077009300 compare to Bethlehem overall?

Tract 42077009300 scores 5.1/10, higher than the parent city of Bethlehem at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bethlehem eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 42077009300 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of A. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Bethlehem

Top eight tracts in Bethlehem ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related