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Neighborhood · Ranked #13,349 of 84,120 nationally

West Bethlehem Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 42077009500 · Lehigh County, PA · pop 4,871 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

Census tract 42077009500 covers part of the West Bethlehem area of Bethlehem, PA, and scores 6.9/10 on landlord eviction risk. The dominant input is court filing pressure at 9.2/10.

Risk score
6.9
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 26% Stable renters 27% Owners 47%
Tract context
Occupied units2,080
Renter share52.9%
SVI overall0.76
Poverty rate17.3%
Median income$68,590

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In West Bethlehem
Moderate
Within parent city
44 th percentile
Rank, 44th percentileLowHigh
#11 of 19 tracts In Bethlehem
Moderate
Within county
99 th percentile
Rank, 99th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 81 tracts In Lehigh County
Very High
Within state
89 th percentile
Rank, 89th percentileLowHigh
#395 of 3,445 tracts In Pennsylvania
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Bethlehem and the region

Centroid at 40.6206, -75.3893 · click any tract to drill in

Why West Bethlehem scores 6.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Bethlehem
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
17.3% poverty · this tract
4.3
Supply constraint
$1,230 rent vs county FMR
3.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Bethlehem
7.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Bethlehem
9.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Bethlehem
7.1

How West Bethlehem compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
West Bethlehem risk score vs. parent city / county / state6.9This tracttract 0095005.9Bethlehemparent city4.7Countyavg tract in county4.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 76

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 404Total filings over 7 yrs
  • 6.48%Avg annual filing rate
  • 9.3%Peak (2006)
  • 79Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2006
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 42077009500
Filings climbed 23% over the past 7 months.
Analysis

What drives eviction risk in West Bethlehem

On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 9.1/10. Against the Lehigh County average of 4.7, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.2 points. 12% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 404 filings here across 7 tracked years. Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.1/10. Against Lehigh County at 45.1%, about half of renters here are cost-burdened.

At $1,230 a month, rents run 11% under what the rest of Bethlehem commands. The worst year on record was 2006, when 9.3% of renter households were served. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground B ("Still Desirable"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

In a typical year about 6.5% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 84th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Social vulnerability reads 7.8/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 42077009500

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42077009500?

Census tract 42077009500 in the West Bethlehem neighborhood scores 6.9/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 42077009500?

Median gross rent is $1,230/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 42077009500?

17.3% of residents in tract 42077009500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,871.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 42077009500?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 76th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 77th, household 51th, minority 68th, housing 73th.
Q5

Is tract 42077009500 considered part of West Bethlehem?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42077009500 fall within West Bethlehem (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42077009500?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 404 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 42077009500 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.48% of renter households, peaking at 9.3% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 42077009500 compare to Bethlehem overall?

Tract 42077009500 scores 6.9/10, higher than the parent city of Bethlehem at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bethlehem eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 42077009500 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Bethlehem

Top eight tracts in Bethlehem ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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