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Neighborhood · Ranked #26,446 of 84,120 nationally

East Hills Eviction Risk: Moderate , Bethlehem

Tract 42095010100 · Northampton County, PA · pop 3,984 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

Here is how census tract 42095010100, in the East Hills area of Bethlehem eviction risk, looks to a landlord: a 6.5/10 eviction-risk score (Elevated tier) across a population of 3,984. That is riskier than about 86% of US census tracts.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 61% of renter households, a severe level, and 9% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,599 a month while the average household earns $74,524 a year, roughly 26% of income at the averages. About 60% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
4.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 37% Stable renters 24% Owners 39%
Tract context
Occupied units1,520
Renter share60.5%
SVI overall0.63
Poverty rate12.0%
Median income$74,524

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In East Hills
Moderate
Within parent city
28 th percentile
Rank, 28th percentileLowHigh
#14 of 19 tracts In Bethlehem
Low
Within county
74 th percentile
Rank, 74th percentileLowHigh
#20 of 74 tracts In Northampton County
Elevated
Within state
72 th percentile
Rank, 72nd percentileLowHigh
#968 of 3,445 tracts In Pennsylvania
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Bethlehem and the region

Centroid at 40.6595, -75.3472 · click any tract to drill in

Why East Hills scores 4.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Bethlehem
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
12.0% poverty · this tract
3.0
Supply constraint
$1,599 rent vs county FMR
5.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Bethlehem
7.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Bethlehem
9.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Bethlehem
7.1

How East Hills compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
East Hills risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.94.9This tracttract 010100Bethlehem: 4.24.2Bethlehemparent cityCounty: 3.43.4Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.93.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 63

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,102Total filings over 7 yrs
  • 25.15%Avg annual filing rate
  • 35.6%Peak (2003)
  • 113Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2006
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 420950101002000: 195 filings (31.55/100 renter HHs)2001: 203 filings (32.84/100 renter HHs)2002: 144 filings (23.30/100 renter HHs)2003: 220 filings (35.59/100 renter HHs)2004: 118 filings (19.09/100 renter HHs)2005: 109 filings (16.54/100 renter HHs)2006: 113 filings (17.15/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 42% over the past 7 months.
Analysis

What drives eviction risk in East Hills

What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 9.1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Bethlehem eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Northampton County average of 5.6 and above the Pennsylvania statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 1,102 eviction filings here over 7 tracked years, with about 25.2% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 35.6% of renter households in 2003.

The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 63rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 42095010100

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42095010100?

Census tract 42095010100 in the East Hills neighborhood scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 42095010100?

Median gross rent is $1,599/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 61% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 42095010100?

12.0% of residents in tract 42095010100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,984.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 42095010100?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 63th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 45th, household 91th, minority 56th, housing 52th.
Q5

Is tract 42095010100 considered part of East Hills?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42095010100 fall within East Hills (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42095010100?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,102 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 42095010100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 25.15% of renter households, peaking at 35.6% in 2003. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 42095010100 compare to Bethlehem overall?

Tract 42095010100 scores 4.9/10, higher than the parent city of Bethlehem at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bethlehem eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Bethlehem

Top eight tracts in Bethlehem ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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