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Neighborhood · Ranked #22,213 of 84,120 nationally

Brinker Terrace Eviction Risk: Moderate , Bethlehem

Tract 42095011300 · Northampton County, PA · pop 4,446 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

Census tract 42095011300 runs through Brinker Terrace in Bethlehem. With 4,446 residents, it scores 6.4/10 for landlords. On the national scale it ranks #13,346 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

59% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 29% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,418 a month against an average household income of $58,220 a year, roughly 29% of income at the averages. About 60% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
5.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 35% Stable renters 25% Owners 40%
Tract context
Occupied units1,971
Renter share60.0%
SVI overall0.77
Poverty rate11.5%
Median income$58,220

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Brinker Terrace
Moderate
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#10 of 19 tracts In Bethlehem
Moderate
Within county
84 th percentile
Rank, 84th percentileLowHigh
#13 of 74 tracts In Northampton County
High
Within state
77 th percentile
Rank, 77th percentileLowHigh
#810 of 3,445 tracts In Pennsylvania
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Bethlehem and the region

Centroid at 40.6069, -75.3387 · click any tract to drill in

Why Brinker Terrace scores 5.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Bethlehem
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
11.5% poverty · this tract
2.9
Supply constraint
$1,418 rent vs county FMR
4.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Bethlehem
7.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Bethlehem
9.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Bethlehem
7.1

How Brinker Terrace compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Brinker Terrace risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.25.2This tracttract 011300Bethlehem: 4.24.2Bethlehemparent cityCounty: 3.43.4Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.93.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 77

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 220Total filings over 7 yrs
  • 4.98%Avg annual filing rate
  • 5.7%Peak (2006)
  • 45Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2006
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 420950113002000: 18 filings (3.16/100 renter HHs)2001: 30 filings (5.27/100 renter HHs)2002: 31 filings (5.45/100 renter HHs)2003: 27 filings (4.74/100 renter HHs)2004: 35 filings (6.15/100 renter HHs)2005: 34 filings (4.33/100 renter HHs)2006: 45 filings (5.73/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 150% over the past 7 months.
Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Brinker Terrace

The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 9.1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Bethlehem eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Northampton County average of 5.6 and above the Pennsylvania statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 77th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

This tract overlaps land the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation redlined in the 1930s, a dominant grade of D ("Hazardous") across 2% of the tract. Redlining cut off mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class blocks, and those areas still tend to carry higher rent burden and eviction filings today.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 42095011300

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42095011300?

Census tract 42095011300 in the Brinker Terrace neighborhood scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 42095011300?

Median gross rent is $1,418/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 42095011300?

11.5% of residents in tract 42095011300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,446.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 42095011300?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 77th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 75th, household 57th, minority 68th, housing 77th.
Q5

Is tract 42095011300 considered part of Brinker Terrace?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42095011300 fall within Brinker Terrace (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42095011300?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 220 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 42095011300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.98% of renter households, peaking at 5.7% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 42095011300 compare to Bethlehem overall?

Tract 42095011300 scores 5.2/10, higher than the parent city of Bethlehem at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bethlehem eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 42095011300 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 2% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Bethlehem

Top eight tracts in Bethlehem ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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