Medical District Eviction Risk: Moderate , Memphis

The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1.5/10. The severe-burden share is 24%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

71% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.9/10.

Disability prevalence runs 45.9% against 31.5% nationally. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 2.3/10. The poverty rate is 20%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

It sits 1.0 points above the Shelby County average of 4.3. Average gross rent is $987, 16% below the Memphis average.

In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. That is riskier than roughly 67% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 9.9/10.

Statewide the TN average is 3.9, so this tract runs 1.4 points hotter.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.