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Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally

Frayser Eviction Risk: Moderate , Memphis

Tract 47157010122 · Shelby County, TN · pop 3,198 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

47157010122 is a census tract in the Frayser area of Memphis, TN. It scores 5.4/10 for landlords. Population here is 3,198. 43% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 47% Stable renters 34% Owners 19%
Tract context
Occupied units868
Renter share81.7%
SVI overall0.92
Poverty rate48.6%
Median income$25,764

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 4 tracts In Frayser
Very Low
Within parent city
64 th percentile
Rank, 64th percentileLowHigh
#71 of 197 tracts In Memphis
Elevated
Within county
86 th percentile
Rank, 86th percentileLowHigh
#36 of 249 tracts In Shelby County
High
Within state
98 th percentile
Rank, 98th percentileLowHigh
#39 of 1,701 tracts In Tennessee
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Memphis and the region

Centroid at 35.2129, -90.0147 · click any tract to drill in

Why Frayser scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Memphis
6.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.5
State political climate
Tennessee legislature & governorship
1.9
Economic stress
48.6% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$983 rent vs county FMR
2.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Memphis
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Memphis
5.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Memphis
4.5

How Frayser compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Frayser risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.4This tracttract 0101224.0Memphisparent city4.3Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 92

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 639Total filings 2020-21
  • 8.4Avg monthly (observed)
  • 0.0Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.00×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-04-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Memphis, TN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Frayser. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Frayser

The dominant input is economic stress at 10/10. Disability prevalence runs 55.7% against 31.5% nationally.

The poverty rate is 49%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Set annual rent against average income of $25,764 and the ratio lands at 46%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.

82% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10.

Cost burden runs 58% here against 48.3% across Shelby County. On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.9/10.

Adults with no health insurance runs 22.7% against 11.3% nationally. Against the Shelby County average of 4.3, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.1 points. At $983 a month, rents run 17% under what the rest of Memphis commands.

That is riskier than roughly 70% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 47157010122

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 47157010122?

Census tract 47157010122 in the Frayser neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 47157010122?

Median gross rent is $983/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 47157010122?

48.6% of residents in tract 47157010122 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,198.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 47157010122?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 92th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 100th, household 41th, minority 97th, housing 74th.
Q5

Is tract 47157010122 considered part of Frayser?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 47157010122 fall within Frayser (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How does tract 47157010122 compare to Memphis overall?

Tract 47157010122 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Memphis at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Memphis eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Memphis

Top eight tracts in Memphis ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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