Census Tract · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally

Alvin Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 48039661200 · Brazoria, TX · pop 4,606

Census tract 48039661200 covers part of Alvin, TX, and scores 5.4/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,606 residents. Cost burden runs 66% here against 46.2% across Brazoria County.

Risk score

5.4

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 43% Stable renters 23% Owners 34%

Tract context

Occupied units1,988

Renter share65.5%

SVI overall0.86

Poverty rate21.0%

Median income$46,058

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Alvin and the region

Centroid at 29.4151, -95.2378 · click any tract to drill in

Why Alvin scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Alvin

4.7

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

4.1

State political climate

Texas legislature & governorship

1.5

Economic stress

21.0% poverty · this tract

5.3

Supply constraint

$1,182 rent vs county FMR

4.4

Rent control risk

Inherited from Alvin

7.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

1.3

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Alvin

8.4

Housing court bias

Inherited from Alvin

6.4

How Alvin compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 86

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

73%Socioeconomic
78%Household composition
72%Racial/ethnic minority
90%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Alvin

The main counterweight is eviction-process difficulty at 1.3/10. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.6/10.

The severe-burden share is 19%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10.

This is renter territory: 65% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. It sits 1.6 points above the Brazoria County average of 3.8.

The poverty rate is 21%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Adults with no health insurance runs 20.5% against 11.3% nationally.

On the national scale it lands near the 70th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 8.8/10.

Statewide the TX average is 3.9, so this tract runs 1.5 points hotter. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 48039661200

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48039661200?

Census tract 48039661200 in Alvin scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 48039661200?

Median gross rent is $1,182/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 66% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 48039661200?

21.0% of residents in tract 48039661200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,606.

How socially vulnerable is tract 48039661200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 86th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 73th, household 78th, minority 72th, housing 90th.

How does tract 48039661200 compare to Alvin overall?

Tract 48039661200 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Alvin at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Alvin; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Alvin

Top eight tracts in Alvin ranked by composite eviction-risk score.