Census Tract · Ranked #48,956 of 84,120 nationally

Alvin Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 48039661602 · Brazoria, TX · pop 3,010 · 26% of tract blocks fall in Alvin

With a score of 4/10, tract 48039661602 in Alvin, TX reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,010 residents. 15% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, far below the Brazoria County average of 46.2%.

Risk score

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 5% Stable renters 29% Owners 66%

Tract context

Occupied units1,088

Renter share34.6%

SVI overall0.51

Poverty rate5.3%

Median income$89,231

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Alvin and the region

Centroid at 29.3519, -95.2516 · click any tract to drill in

Why Alvin scores 4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Alvin

4.7

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

4.1

State political climate

Texas legislature & governorship

1.5

Economic stress

5.3% poverty · this tract

1.3

Supply constraint

$1,556 rent vs county FMR

7.3

Rent control risk

Inherited from Alvin

7.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

1.3

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Alvin

8.4

Housing court bias

Inherited from Alvin

6.4

How Alvin compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 51

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

32%Socioeconomic
39%Household composition
70%Racial/ethnic minority
73%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Alvin

The main counterweight is eviction-process difficulty at 1.3/10. On the softer side, economic stress reads 1.3/10.

At $1,556 a month, rents run 28% over what the rest of Alvin commands. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.6/10. The voucher gap is 23.5%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

Adults with no health insurance runs 20.7% against 11.3% nationally. That is riskier than roughly 42% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 5.6/10. Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. It tracks the Brazoria County average of 3.8 closely.

Annual rent works out to 21% of average household income of $89,231. 35% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 48039661602

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48039661602?

Census tract 48039661602 in Alvin scores 4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 48039661602?

Median gross rent is $1,556/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 15% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 48039661602?

5.3% of residents in tract 48039661602 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,010.

How socially vulnerable is tract 48039661602?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 51th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 32th, household 39th, minority 70th, housing 73th.

How does tract 48039661602 compare to Alvin overall?

Tract 48039661602 scores 4/10, right in line with the parent city of Alvin at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Alvin; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Alvin

Top eight tracts in Alvin ranked by composite eviction-risk score.