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Census Tract · Ranked #42,813 of 84,120 nationally

Alvin Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 48039661502 · Brazoria, TX · pop 5,247 · 37% of tract blocks fall in Alvin

Tract 48039661502 sits in Alvin, TX, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.4/10. It is home to 5,247 residents. Severe burden reaches 40%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score
4.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 8% Stable renters 7% Owners 85%
Tract context
Occupied units1,722
Renter share14.9%
SVI overall0.79
Poverty rate7.2%
Median income$79,375

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#6 of 11 tracts In Alvin
Moderate
Within county
74 th percentile
Rank, 74th percentileLowHigh
#21 of 77 tracts In Brazoria
Elevated
Within state
69 th percentile
Rank, 69th percentileLowHigh
#2,131 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Elevated
National
49 th percentile
Rank, 49th percentileLowHigh
#42,813 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Alvin and the region

Centroid at 29.3859, -95.3100 · click any tract to drill in

Why Alvin scores 4.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Alvin
4.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.1
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
7.2% poverty · this tract
1.8
Supply constraint
$1,085 rent vs county FMR
3.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Alvin
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Alvin
8.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Alvin
6.4

How Alvin compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Alvin risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.4This tracttract 6615024.0Alvinparent city3.8Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 79

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Alvin

The main counterweight is eviction-process difficulty at 1.3/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.6/10.

Cost burden runs 56% here against 46.2% across Brazoria County. On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Adults with no health insurance runs 18.9% against 11.3% nationally.

It sits 0.6 points above the Brazoria County average of 3.8. At $1,085 a month, rents run 11% under what the rest of Alvin commands. On the national scale it lands near the 49th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

Only 15% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.1/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Rent consumes only 16% of average household income of $79,375, an unusually wide affordability cushion.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 48039661502

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48039661502?

Census tract 48039661502 in Alvin scores 4.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48039661502?

Median gross rent is $1,085/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48039661502?

7.2% of residents in tract 48039661502 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,247.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48039661502?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 79th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 65th, household 74th, minority 58th, housing 87th.
Q5

How does tract 48039661502 compare to Alvin overall?

Tract 48039661502 scores 4.4/10, higher than the parent city of Alvin at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Alvin; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Alvin

Top eight tracts in Alvin ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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