Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #42,813 of 84,120 nationally
Hillcrest Eviction Risk: Moderate , Alvin
Tract 48039661601 · Brazoria, TX · pop 6,879 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
Census tract 48039661601 covers part of the Hillcrest area of Alvin, TX, and scores 4.4/10 on landlord eviction risk. Pulling hardest the other way is eviction-process difficulty at 1.3/10.
Risk score
4.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 21%
Stable renters 24%
Owners 55%
Tract context
Occupied units2,435
Renter share44.8%
SVI overall0.62
Poverty rate6.3%
Median income$75,737
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
40
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
71
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
69
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Alvin and the region
Centroid at 29.3911, -95.2134 · click any tract to drill in
Why Hillcrest scores 4.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Alvin
4.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.1
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
6.3% poverty · this tract
1.6
Supply constraint
$1,125 rent vs county FMR
3.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Alvin
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Alvin
8.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Alvin
6.4
How Hillcrest compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 62
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 49%Socioeconomic
- 76%Household composition
- 58%Racial/ethnic minority
- 58%Housing & transportation
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Hillcrest
Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.6/10. Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10.
The severe-burden share is 10%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Against the Brazoria County average of 3.8, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.6 points.
On the national scale it lands near the 49th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Social vulnerability reads 6.6/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Against average income of $75,737, annual rent is just 18%. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.
47% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent. Average gross rent is $1,125, close to the Alvin average. 45% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 48039661601
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48039661601?
Census tract 48039661601 in the Hillcrest neighborhood scores 4.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48039661601?
Median gross rent is $1,125/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48039661601?
6.3% of residents in tract 48039661601 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,879.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48039661601?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 62th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 49th, household 76th, minority 58th, housing 58th.
Q5
Is tract 48039661601 considered part of Hillcrest?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48039661601 fall within Hillcrest (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How does tract 48039661601 compare to Alvin overall?
Tract 48039661601 scores 4.4/10, higher than the parent city of Alvin at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Alvin; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Alvin
Top eight tracts in Alvin ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · TX
48039661200
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
48039661300
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
48039660901
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
48039661100
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
48039661400
4.5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
48039661502
4.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
48039661602
4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
48039661901
3.8
/ 10 · Low
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