Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #65,113 of 84,120 nationally
Hillcrest Eviction Risk: Lower , Alvin
Tract 48039661601 · Brazoria, TX · pop 6,879 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
How risky is the Hillcrest neighborhood of Alvin for landlords? Census tract 48039661601 scores 5.7/10, the Moderate tier. It lands near the 63rd percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
About 47% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 10% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,125 a month against an average household income of $75,737 a year, roughly 18% of income at the averages. Renters make up 45% of occupied homes.
Risk score
2.6
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 21%
Stable renters 24%
Owners 55%
Tract context
Occupied units2,435
Renter share44.8%
SVI overall0.62
Poverty rate6.3%
Median income$75,737
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
40
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
66
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
23
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Alvin and the region
Centroid at 29.3911, -95.2134 · click any tract to drill in
Why Hillcrest scores 2.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Alvin
4.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.1
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
6.3% poverty · this tract
1.6
Supply constraint
$1,125 rent vs county FMR
3.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Alvin
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Alvin
8.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Alvin
6.4
How Hillcrest compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 62
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 49%Socioeconomic
- 76%Household composition
- 58%Racial/ethnic minority
- 58%Housing & transportation
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Hillcrest
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 8.4/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Alvin, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Brazoria County average of 5.0 and above the Texas statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 62nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 48039661601
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48039661601?
Census tract 48039661601 in the Hillcrest neighborhood scores 2.6/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48039661601?
Median gross rent is $1,125/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48039661601?
6.3% of residents in tract 48039661601 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,879.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48039661601?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 62th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 49th, household 76th, minority 58th, housing 58th.
Q5
Is tract 48039661601 considered part of Hillcrest?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48039661601 fall within Hillcrest (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How does tract 48039661601 compare to Alvin overall?
Tract 48039661601 scores 2.6/10, higher than the parent city of Alvin at 2.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Alvin; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Alvin
Top eight tracts in Alvin ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · TX
48039661200
4.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
48039661300
4.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
48039660901
3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · TX
48039661100
2.7
/ 10 · Low
Tract · TX
48039661400
2.6
/ 10 · Low
Tract · TX
48039661502
2.6
/ 10 · Low
Tract · TX
48039661602
2.3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · TX
48039661901
2.1
/ 10 · Low
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