Within parent city
88
th percentile
High
Census Tract · Ranked #29,336 of 84,120 nationally
Denton Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 48121020605 · Denton, TX · pop 2,798
Tract 48121020605 sits in Denton eviction risk, TX, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.2/10. It is home to 2,798 residents. The severe-burden share is 36%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
5.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 32%
Stable renters 30%
Owners 38%
Tract context
Occupied units1,015
Renter share61.6%
SVI overall0.66
Poverty rate32.0%
Median income$64,620
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
93
th percentile
Very High
Within state
95
th percentile
Very High
National
65
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Denton and the region
Centroid at 33.2234, -97.0901 · click any tract to drill in
Why Denton scores 5.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Denton
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.6
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
32.0% poverty · this tract
8.0
Supply constraint
$1,515 rent vs county FMR
3.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Denton
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Denton
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Denton
3.5
How Denton compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 66
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 85%Socioeconomic
- 77%Household composition
- 61%Racial/ethnic minority
- 17%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 240Total filings 2020-21
- 3.1Avg monthly (observed)
- 4.0Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.79×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Fort Worth, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Denton
The clearest offset is state political climate at 1.5/10. The poverty rate is 32%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.3/10.
It sits 1.4 points above the Denton County average of 3.8. Against Denton County at 45.5%, 52% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Adults with no health insurance runs 19.4% against 11.3% nationally. Nationally it ranks #29,336 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Social vulnerability reads 6.9/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the TX average is 3.9, so this tract runs 1.3 points hotter.
Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured. Average gross rent is $1,515, close to the Denton average.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 48121020605
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48121020605?
Census tract 48121020605 in Denton scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48121020605?
Median gross rent is $1,515/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48121020605?
32.0% of residents in tract 48121020605 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,798.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48121020605?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 66th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 85th, household 77th, minority 61th, housing 17th.
Q5
Did eviction filings in tract 48121020605 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.79× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Fort Worth eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q6
How does tract 48121020605 compare to Denton overall?
Tract 48121020605 scores 5.2/10, higher than the parent city of Denton at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Denton eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Denton
Top eight tracts in Denton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · TX
Denton Square
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
48121021203
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
48121021204
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Denton Square
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
48121021304
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
48121020507
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
48121020508
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Denton Square
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
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