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Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Lake Forest Eviction Risk: Lower , Round Rock

Tract 48491020706 · Williamson, TX · pop 4,936 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

With a score of 3/10, tract 48491020706 in the Lake Forest area of Round Rock, TX reads lower for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,936 residents. The score leans hardest on supply constraint at 10/10.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4% Stable renters 4% Owners 92%
Tract context
Occupied units1,437
Renter share7.6%
SVI overall0.05
Poverty rate2.1%
Median income$196,058

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 5 tracts In Lake Forest
High
Within parent city
6 th percentile
Rank, 6th percentileLowHigh
#32 of 34 tracts In Round Rock
Very Low
Within county
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#135 of 135 tracts In Williamson
Very Low
Within state
35 th percentile
Rank, 35th percentileLowHigh
#4,505 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Round Rock and the region

Centroid at 30.5134, -97.6182 · click any tract to drill in

Why Lake Forest scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Round Rock
4.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
2.1% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,940 rent vs county FMR
10.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Round Rock
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Round Rock
3.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Round Rock
2.5

How Lake Forest compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Lake Forest risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.0This tracttract 0207063.4Round Rockparent city3.8Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 5

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Lake Forest. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Lake Forest

At $2,940 a month, rents run 67% over what the rest of Round Rock commands. The voucher gap is 50.9%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 1/10.

Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1/10. 10% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Against Williamson County at 43.5%, 48% of renters here are cost-burdened.

Against the Williamson County average of 3.8, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.8 points. On the national scale it lands near the 20th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

At 8% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 1.5/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Against average income of $196,058, annual rent is just 18%.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 48491020706

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48491020706?

Census tract 48491020706 in the Lake Forest neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48491020706?

Median gross rent is $2,940/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48491020706?

2.1% of residents in tract 48491020706 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,936.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48491020706?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 5th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 4th, household 38th, minority 47th, housing 4th.
Q5

Is tract 48491020706 considered part of Lake Forest?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48491020706 fall within Lake Forest (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How does tract 48491020706 compare to Round Rock overall?

Tract 48491020706 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Round Rock at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Round Rock eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Round Rock

Top eight tracts in Round Rock ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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