Neighborhood · Round Rock, TX

Lake Forest Eviction Risk: Lower

5 census tracts · pop 19,542 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 1.2/10 · range 1.1–1.7

Lake Forest is a white (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Round Rock with 5 census tracts and a population of 19,542 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 1.2/10 (Lower tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 40% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 10% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $2,159/month sits 22% higher than the Round Rock citywide average ($1,763).

Risk score

1.2

Lower

5 tracts · population-weighted

Lake Forest vs Round Rock How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

39.9% +31%

Round Rock: 30.4%

Average gross rent

$2,159 +22%

Round Rock: $1,763

Average HH income

$153,995 +58%

Round Rock: $97,187

Poverty rate

2.7% -65%

Round Rock: 7.7%

Renter share

14.9% -66%

Round Rock: 44.5%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Lake Forest and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 5 tracts span score 1.1–1.7

Why Lake Forest scores 1.2

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts

1.5

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.1–5.1 across tracts

5.1

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts

4.5

Rent control risk

40% of income on rent · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts

1.0

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts

3.5

Tenant organizing strength

15% renter households · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts

3.0

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts

2.5

Economic stress

2.7% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts

1.0

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 4.6–10.0 across tracts

7.0

Risk score comparison

Lake Forest vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Lake Forest?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution

0246810

Spread of 0.6 points from 1.1 to 1.7. Tracts are relatively uniform, so conditions feel similar throughout the neighborhood.

Tracts as heat grid

1.7 1.2 1.1 1.1 1.1

Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.

Census tracts

5 tracts in Lake Forest

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
48491020713	1.7	3,607	30%	$1,875
48491020815	1.2	1,859	0%	—
48491020706	1.1	4,936	48%	$2,940
48491020814	1.1	4,903	27%	$2,429
48491020711	1.1	4,237	72%	$2,128

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 9

Pop-weighted across 5 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 15%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 31%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 52%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 5%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

Frequently asked

About Lake Forest

What is the eviction-risk score for Lake Forest?

Lake Forest scores 1.2/10 (Lower tier) across 5 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Lake Forest compare to Round Rock overall?

Lake Forest scores 1.3 points lower than Round Rock overall (2.5/10). Renters spend 40% of income on rent vs 30% citywide. Average rent: $2,159 vs $1,763.

What is the average rent in Lake Forest?

Average gross rent in Lake Forest is $2,159/month (pop-weighted across 5 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 40% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Lake Forest residents are renters?

15% of Lake Forest households are renter-occupied (vs 44% in Round Rock). The neighborhood has 19,542 residents.

Is Lake Forest a high social-vulnerability area?

Lake Forest sits in the 9th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Which tracts in Lake Forest have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Lake Forest is census tract 48491020713 (score 1.7/10). Across the 5 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 1.1 to 1.7, a spread of 0.6 points.

How safe is Lake Forest for landlords?

Lake Forest carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (1.2/10). Pop-weighted across 5 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Round Rock as a whole (2.5/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Lake Forest?

Lake Forest has 19,952 residents (White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (62.1%), Hispanic / Latino (19.9%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (9.1%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Lake Forest

2.3 South Creek 2 tracts · pop 11,410 1.8 Homestead at Old Settlers Park 2 tracts · pop 6,695 1.5 Carmel Creek 3 tracts · pop 16,338 1.8 Villages of Chandler Creek 2 tracts · pop 7,561 2.7 Rubio 2 tracts · pop 7,893 2.5 Lakeside 2 tracts · pop 6,905

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Round Rock

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Lake Forest.

1.1 Behrens Ranch 1 tracts · pop 7,097 1.1 Sendero Springs 1 tracts · pop 6,477 1.1 Oak Creek 1 tracts · pop 3,168 1.3 Brushy Creek North 1 tracts · pop 4,136 1 Paloma Lake 1 tracts · pop 9,103 1.4 The Oaklands 1 tracts · pop 4,738

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