5 census tracts · pop 19,542 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3/10
· range 3–3.2
Lake Forest takes in 5 census tracts of Round Rock, TX, population 19,542. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 3/10, Lower tier. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure, at 1/10.
On the softer side is economic stress, at 1/10. Against a Round Rock baseline of 30.4%, 40% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line. At $2,159 a month, rents sit 22% over what the rest of Round Rock commands.
The voucher gap is 20.3%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears. Running cool is housing-court posture, at 2.5/10. Severe burden reaches 10%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears.
That places it #16 of 21 neighborhoods in Round Rock. Only 15% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin here; price renewals off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. The closest comparables inside the same city are Oak Creek and Paloma Lake.
Rent takes 17% of average household income, comfortably inside the 30% line and unusually low for a rental sub-market. Poverty sits at 3%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.
Its 5 tracts score within 0.2 points of one another, so the area figure travels well to individual addresses.
With little internal variation, 3/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.
Risk score
3
Lower
5 tracts · population-weighted
Lake Forest vs Round RockHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority52%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport5%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Frequently asked
About Lake Forest
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Lake Forest?
Lake Forest scores 3/10 (Lower tier) across 5 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Lake Forest compare to Round Rock overall?
Lake Forest scores 0.4 points lower than Round Rock overall (3.4/10). Renters spend 40% of income on rent vs 30% citywide. Average rent: $2,159 vs $1,763.
Q3
What is the average rent in Lake Forest?
Average gross rent in Lake Forest is $2,159/month (pop-weighted across 5 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 40% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Lake Forest residents are renters?
15% of Lake Forest households are renter-occupied (vs 44% in Round Rock). The neighborhood has 19,542 residents.
Q5
Is Lake Forest a high social-vulnerability area?
Lake Forest sits in the 9th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Lake Forest have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Lake Forest is census tract 48491020713 (score 3.2/10). Across the 5 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3 to 3.2, a spread of 0.2 points.
Q7
How safe is Lake Forest for landlords?
Lake Forest carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3/10). Pop-weighted across 5 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Round Rock as a whole (3.4/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Lake Forest?
Lake Forest has 19,952 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (62.1%), Hispanic / Latino (19.9%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (9.1%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
