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Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Lake Forest Eviction Risk: Lower , Round Rock

Tract 48491020814 · Williamson, TX · pop 4,903 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi

Census tract 48491020814 covers part of the Lake Forest area of Round Rock, TX, and scores 3/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,903 residents. Cost burden runs 27% here against 43.5% across Williamson County.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 2% Stable renters 5% Owners 93%
Tract context
Occupied units1,527
Renter share6.9%
SVI overall0.08
Poverty rate1.4%
Median income$156,892

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
25 th percentile
Rank, 25th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 5 tracts In Lake Forest
Low
Within parent city
27 th percentile
Rank, 27th percentileLowHigh
#25 of 34 tracts In Round Rock
Low
Within county
8 th percentile
Rank, 8th percentileLowHigh
#124 of 135 tracts In Williamson
Very Low
Within state
35 th percentile
Rank, 35th percentileLowHigh
#4,505 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Round Rock and the region

Centroid at 30.5085, -97.6017 · click any tract to drill in

Why Lake Forest scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Round Rock
4.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
1.4% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,429 rent vs county FMR
7.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Round Rock
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Round Rock
3.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Round Rock
2.5

How Lake Forest compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Lake Forest risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.0This tracttract 0208143.4Round Rockparent city3.8Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 8

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Lake Forest. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Lake Forest

Average gross rent is $2,429, 38% above the Round Rock average. Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. Running cool, economic stress reads 1/10.

On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10. The voucher gap is 24.6%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. The severe-burden share is 12%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Against the Williamson County average of 3.8, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.8 points. That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

At 7% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. Social vulnerability reads 1.7/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the TX average is 3.9, so this tract runs 0.9 points cooler.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 48491020814

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48491020814?

Census tract 48491020814 in the Lake Forest neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48491020814?

Median gross rent is $2,429/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 27% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48491020814?

1.4% of residents in tract 48491020814 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,903.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48491020814?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 8th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 12th, household 43th, minority 54th, housing 2th.
Q5

Is tract 48491020814 considered part of Lake Forest?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48491020814 fall within Lake Forest (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How does tract 48491020814 compare to Round Rock overall?

Tract 48491020814 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Round Rock at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Round Rock eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Round Rock

Top eight tracts in Round Rock ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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