Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #63,308 of 84,120 nationally
Carmel Creek Eviction Risk: Lower , Hutto
Tract 48491020816 · Williamson, TX · pop 5,859 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi
Census tract 48491020816 covers part of the Carmel Creek area of Hutto, TX, and scores 3.2/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 5,859. The main counterweight is economic stress at 1/10.
Risk score
3.2
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14%
Stable renters 25%
Owners 61%
Tract context
Occupied units2,603
Renter share38.2%
SVI overall0.25
Poverty rate1.6%
Median income$99,768
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
71
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
36
th percentile
Low
Within state
40
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Hutto and the region
Centroid at 30.5206, -97.5842 · click any tract to drill in
Why Carmel Creek scores 3.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Hutto
5.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
1.6% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,610 rent vs county FMR
3.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Hutto
3.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Hutto
4.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Hutto
3.7
How Carmel Creek compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 25
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 29%Socioeconomic
- 31%Household composition
- 62%Racial/ethnic minority
- 20%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Carmel Creek. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Carmel Creek
Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.2/10. Average gross rent is $1,610, 29% below the Hutto average.
Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10. 36% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, below the Williamson County average of 43.5%.
Severe burden reaches 9%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. That is riskier than roughly 25% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 3.3/10. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.
Poverty sits at 2%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. It tracks the Williamson County average of 3.8 closely. Annual rent works out to 19% of average household income of $99,768.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 48491020816
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48491020816?
Census tract 48491020816 in the Carmel Creek neighborhood scores 3.2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48491020816?
Median gross rent is $1,610/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 36% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48491020816?
1.6% of residents in tract 48491020816 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,859.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48491020816?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 25th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 29th, household 31th, minority 62th, housing 20th.
Q5
Is tract 48491020816 considered part of Carmel Creek?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48491020816 fall within Carmel Creek (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How does tract 48491020816 compare to Hutto overall?
Tract 48491020816 scores 3.2/10, right in line with the parent city of Hutto at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Hutto; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Hutto
Top eight tracts in Hutto ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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