Skip to content
Neighborhood · Hutto, TX

Carmel Creek Eviction Risk: Lower

3 census tracts · pop 16,338 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.1/10 · range 3–3.2

Carmel Creek takes in 3 census tracts of Hutto, TX and houses 16,338 people. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 3.1/10, Lower tier. The main counterweight is economic stress, at 1/10.

Against a Hutto baseline of 24.3%, around a third of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line. On the softer side is eviction-process difficulty, at 1.2/10. At $1,923 a month, rents sit 15% under what the rest of Hutto commands.

At 24% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out. Poverty sits at 2%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

Its 3 tracts score within 0.2 points of one another, so the area figure travels well to individual addresses. Annual rent works out to 20% of average household income of $112,578.

The area figure travels well to individual addresses here, though the per-tract table below still carries the detail. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
3.1
Lower
3 tracts · population-weighted
Carmel Creek vs Hutto How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
34.2% +41%
Hutto: 24.3%
Average gross rent
$1,923 -15%
Hutto: $2,255
Average HH income
$112,578 -2%
Hutto: $115,149
Poverty rate
2.2% -67%
Hutto: 6.6%
Renter share
24.4% +20%
Hutto: 20.4%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Carmel Creek and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 3 tracts span score 3–3.2

Why Carmel Creek scores 3.1

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.1–5.1 across tracts
5.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.6–5.6 across tracts
5.6
Rent control risk
34% of income on rent · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 1.2–1.2 across tracts
1.2
Tenant organizing strength
24% renter households · Range 4.8–4.8 across tracts
4.8
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 3.7–3.7 across tracts
3.7
Economic stress
2.2% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.3–6.9 across tracts
4.9
Risk score comparison

Carmel Creek vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Carmel Creek score vs. parent city, state, U.S.3.1Carmel CreekNeighborhood3.4Parent cityhost city3.6Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Carmel Creek?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 0.2 points from 3 to 3.2. Tracts are relatively uniform, so conditions feel similar throughout the neighborhood.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

3 tracts in Carmel Creek

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
48491020816 3.2 5,859 36% $1,610
48491020810 3 6,601 48% $1,965
48491020811 3 3,878 9% $2,326
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 24

Pop-weighted across 3 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 29%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 30%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 68%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 17%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Frequently asked

About Carmel Creek

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Carmel Creek?

Carmel Creek scores 3.1/10 (Lower tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Carmel Creek compare to Hutto overall?

Carmel Creek scores 0.3 points lower than Hutto overall (3.4/10). Renters spend 34% of income on rent vs 24% citywide. Average rent: $1,923 vs $2,255.
Q3

What is the average rent in Carmel Creek?

Average gross rent in Carmel Creek is $1,923/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 34% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Carmel Creek residents are renters?

24% of Carmel Creek households are renter-occupied (vs 20% in Hutto). The neighborhood has 16,338 residents.
Q5

Is Carmel Creek a high social-vulnerability area?

Carmel Creek sits in the 24th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Carmel Creek have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Carmel Creek is census tract 48491020816 (score 3.2/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3 to 3.2, a spread of 0.2 points.
Q7

How safe is Carmel Creek for landlords?

Carmel Creek carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.1/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Hutto as a whole (3.4/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Carmel Creek?

Carmel Creek has 17,722 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (50.5%), Hispanic / Latino (33.1%), Black (non-Hispanic) (8.7%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Carmel Creek

Zoom out

Up the geography chain · or explore further