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Neighborhood · Ranked #79,998 of 84,120 nationally

Carmel Creek Eviction Risk: Lower , Hutto

Tract 48491020810 · Williamson, TX · pop 6,601 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

Census tract 48491020810 covers the Carmel Creek neighborhood of Hutto, home to 6,601 residents. For landlords it grades 4.8/10, a moderate reading. It lands near the 30th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 48% of renter households, a severe level, and 8% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,965 a month against an average household income of $117,065 a year, roughly 20% of income at the averages. Renters make up 14% of occupied homes.

Risk score
1.4
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 7% Stable renters 7% Owners 86%
Tract context
Occupied units2,496
Renter share13.9%
SVI overall0.30
Poverty rate2.0%
Median income$117,065

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 3 tracts In Carmel Creek
Moderate
Within parent city
29 th percentile
Rank, 29th percentileLowHigh
#6 of 8 tracts In Hutto
Low
Within county
28 th percentile
Rank, 28th percentileLowHigh
#97 of 135 tracts In Williamson
Low
Within state
6 th percentile
Rank, 6th percentileLowHigh
#6,446 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Hutto and the region

Centroid at 30.5185, -97.5583 · click any tract to drill in

Why Carmel Creek scores 1.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Hutto
5.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
2.0% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,965 rent vs county FMR
5.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Hutto
3.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Hutto
4.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Hutto
3.7

How Carmel Creek compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Carmel Creek risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 1.41.4This tracttract 020810Hutto: 2.02.0Huttoparent cityCounty: 2.02.0Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.93.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 30

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Carmel Creek. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Carmel Creek

What moves this score most is supply constraint at 5.1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Hutto, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Williamson County average of 4.8 and in line with the Texas statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 30th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 48491020810

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48491020810?

Census tract 48491020810 in the Carmel Creek neighborhood scores 1.4/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48491020810?

Median gross rent is $1,965/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48491020810?

2.0% of residents in tract 48491020810 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,601.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48491020810?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 30th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 31th, household 41th, minority 70th, housing 21th.
Q5

Is tract 48491020810 considered part of Carmel Creek?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48491020810 fall within Carmel Creek (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How does tract 48491020810 compare to Hutto overall?

Tract 48491020810 scores 1.4/10, lower than the parent city of Hutto at 2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Hutto; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Hutto

Top eight tracts in Hutto ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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