Carmel Creek Eviction Risk: Lower , Hutto

Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1/10. Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.2/10. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10.

The voucher gap is 19.3%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Against the Williamson County average of 3.8, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.8 points.

That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Only 21% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 1.9/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the TX average is 3.9, so this tract runs 0.9 points cooler.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 4%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Average gross rent is $2,326, close to the Hutto average.

Annual rent works out to 22% of average household income of $124,293.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.