Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #39,308 of 84,120 nationally
Avalon Eviction Risk: Moderate , St. George
Tract 49053271300 · Washington, UT · pop 3,910 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
49053271300 is a census tract in the Avalon area of St. George, UT. It scores 4.6/10 for landlords. It is home to 3,910 residents. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.
Risk score
4.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 25%
Stable renters 39%
Owners 36%
Tract context
Occupied units1,109
Renter share63.4%
SVI overall0.79
Poverty rate27.5%
Median income$57,344
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
94
th percentile
Very High
Within county
91
th percentile
Very High
Within state
83
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across St. George and the region
Centroid at 37.1006, -113.5697 · click any tract to drill in
Why Avalon scores 4.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from St. George
2.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
2.4
State political climate
Utah legislature & governorship
1.9
Economic stress
27.5% poverty · this tract
6.9
Supply constraint
$1,092 rent vs county FMR
2.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from St. George
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from St. George
1.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from St. George
2.0
How Avalon compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 79
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 80%Socioeconomic
- 20%Household composition
- 32%Racial/ethnic minority
- 98%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 13Total filings over 2 yrs
- 0.98%Avg annual filing rate
- 1.4%Peak (2015)
- 4Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Avalon. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 15.4%Housing insecurity
- 12.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 24.7%Food insecurity
- 16.4%SNAP enrollment
- 14.3%Transit barriers
- 14.8%No health insurance
- 23.4%Frequent mental distress
- 41.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Avalon
On the softer side, tenant-organizing strength reads 1/10. 23% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. 39% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well below the Washington County average of 49.4%.
Average gross rent is $1,092, 29% below the St. George average. Well under the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 1.3/10. The poverty rate is 28%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
It sits 1.0 points above the Washington County average of 3.6. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 13 filings here across 2 tracked years.
Filings peaked in 2015 at 1.4% of renter households. In a typical year about 1.0% of renter households face a filing.
Nationally it ranks #39,308 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 8.1/10.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 49053271300
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 49053271300?
Census tract 49053271300 in the Avalon neighborhood scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 49053271300?
Median gross rent is $1,092/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 39% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 49053271300?
27.5% of residents in tract 49053271300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,910.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 49053271300?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 79th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 80th, household 20th, minority 32th, housing 98th.
Q5
Is tract 49053271300 considered part of Avalon?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 49053271300 fall within Avalon (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 49053271300?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 13 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 49053271300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 0.98% of renter households, peaking at 1.4% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 49053271300 struggle to pay rent?
About 15.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 49053271300 compare to St. George overall?
Tract 49053271300 scores 4.6/10, higher than the parent city of St. George at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from St. George eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in St. George
Top eight tracts in St. George ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · UT
Avalon
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · UT
49053270301
4.5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · UT
Rebel Creek Ridge
4.5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · UT
Royal Oaks
4.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · UT
Foothill Terrace
4.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · UT
Rebel Creek Ridge
4.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · UT
Olive Grove
4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · UT
49053270302
3.8
/ 10 · Low
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