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Neighborhood · Ranked #54,934 of 84,120 nationally

Avalon Eviction Risk: Lower , St. George

Tract 49053271800 · Washington, UT · pop 3,635 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi

Eviction risk in the Avalon area of St. George centers on tract 49053271800, which scores 2.3/10 (Lower tier) and is home to 3,635 residents. That places it near the bottom of the national scale, one of the easier tracts in the country for landlords.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 26% of renter households, a moderate level, and 16% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,429 a month against an average household income of $65,288 a year, roughly 26% of income at the averages. Renters make up 34% of occupied homes.

Risk score
3.2
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 9% Stable renters 25% Owners 66%
Tract context
Occupied units1,478
Renter share33.8%
SVI overall0.61
Poverty rate6.9%
Median income$65,288

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 3 tracts In Avalon
Very Low
Within parent city
41 th percentile
Rank, 41st percentileLowHigh
#11 of 18 tracts In St. George
Moderate
Within county
62 th percentile
Rank, 62nd percentileLowHigh
#14 of 35 tracts In Washington
Elevated
Within state
74 th percentile
Rank, 74th percentileLowHigh
#186 of 716 tracts In Utah
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across St. George and the region

Centroid at 37.0877, -113.5624 · click any tract to drill in

Why Avalon scores 3.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from St. George
2.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
2.4
State political climate
Utah legislature & governorship
1.9
Economic stress
6.9% poverty · this tract
1.7
Supply constraint
$1,429 rent vs county FMR
4.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from St. George
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from St. George
1.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from St. George
2.0

How Avalon compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Avalon risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.23.2This tracttract 271800St. George: 2.12.1St. Georgeparent cityCounty: 3.13.1Countyavg tract in countyState: 2.62.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 61

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 9Total filings over 2 yrs
  • 1.15%Avg annual filing rate
  • 1.6%Peak (2018)
  • 6Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Avalon. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Avalon

What moves this score most is supply constraint at 4.6/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from St. George eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Washington County average of 3.4 and below the Utah statewide average of 4.0. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 61st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

In CDC survey modeling, about 8.2% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 5.7% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, this is among the easier places to operate: faster process, lighter tenant-protection overhead, and shorter typical cases.

Frequently asked

About tract 49053271800

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 49053271800?

Census tract 49053271800 in the Avalon neighborhood scores 3.2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 49053271800?

Median gross rent is $1,429/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 26% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 49053271800?

6.9% of residents in tract 49053271800 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,635.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 49053271800?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 61th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 55th, household 89th, minority 15th, housing 52th.
Q5

Is tract 49053271800 considered part of Avalon?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 49053271800 fall within Avalon (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 49053271800?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 9 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 49053271800 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.15% of renter households, peaking at 1.6% in 2018. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 49053271800 struggle to pay rent?

About 8.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 49053271800 compare to St. George overall?

Tract 49053271800 scores 3.2/10, higher than the parent city of St. George at 2.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from St. George eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in St. George

Top eight tracts in St. George ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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