Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #61,558 of 84,120 nationally
Avalon Eviction Risk: Lower , St. George
Tract 49053271800 · Washington, UT · pop 3,635 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi
Tract 49053271800 sits in the Avalon area of St. George, UT, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3.3/10. Population here is 3,635. about a quarter of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well under the Washington County average of 49.4%.
Risk score
3.3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 9%
Stable renters 25%
Owners 66%
Tract context
Occupied units1,478
Renter share33.8%
SVI overall0.61
Poverty rate6.9%
Median income$65,288
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
41
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
51
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across St. George and the region
Centroid at 37.0877, -113.5624 · click any tract to drill in
Why Avalon scores 3.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from St. George
2.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
2.4
State political climate
Utah legislature & governorship
1.9
Economic stress
6.9% poverty · this tract
1.7
Supply constraint
$1,429 rent vs county FMR
4.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from St. George
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from St. George
1.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from St. George
2.0
How Avalon compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 61
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 55%Socioeconomic
- 89%Household composition
- 15%Racial/ethnic minority
- 52%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 9Total filings over 2 yrs
- 1.15%Avg annual filing rate
- 1.6%Peak (2018)
- 6Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Avalon. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 8.2%Housing insecurity
- 5.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 11.6%Food insecurity
- 6.0%SNAP enrollment
- 6.5%Transit barriers
- 11.1%No health insurance
- 15.2%Frequent mental distress
- 35.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Avalon
The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. On the softer side, tenant-organizing strength reads 1/10.
Well under the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 1.3/10. 16% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. SNAP participation runs 6.0% against 15.2% nationally.
The filing record is not thin: 9 evictions over 2 years of observation. The worst year on record was 2018, when 1.6% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 1.2% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 27% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 6.5/10.
Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. It tracks the Washington County average of 3.6 closely.
Average gross rent is $1,429, close to the St. George average. Annual rent works out to 26% of average household income of $65,288.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 49053271800
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 49053271800?
Census tract 49053271800 in the Avalon neighborhood scores 3.3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 49053271800?
Median gross rent is $1,429/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 26% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 49053271800?
6.9% of residents in tract 49053271800 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,635.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 49053271800?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 61th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 55th, household 89th, minority 15th, housing 52th.
Q5
Is tract 49053271800 considered part of Avalon?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 49053271800 fall within Avalon (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 49053271800?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 9 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 49053271800 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.15% of renter households, peaking at 1.6% in 2018. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 49053271800 struggle to pay rent?
About 8.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 49053271800 compare to St. George overall?
Tract 49053271800 scores 3.3/10, right in line with the parent city of St. George at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from St. George eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in St. George
Top eight tracts in St. George ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · UT
Avalon
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · UT
Avalon
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · UT
49053270301
4.5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · UT
Rebel Creek Ridge
4.5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · UT
Royal Oaks
4.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · UT
Foothill Terrace
4.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · UT
Rebel Creek Ridge
4.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · UT
Olive Grove
4
/ 10 · Moderate
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